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. 2023 Feb 1;30(16):46711–46726. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-25544-1

Table 4.

Forecasting results of carbon intensity in 2030 under different scenarios

Scenario CO2 emissions (Million tonnes) Carbon emission intensity (Mt/108 Yuan) Carbon peak time Over 65% reduction in carbon intensity
i) 10,507.441 0.02186 2035 Yes (67.21%)
ii) 10,434.082 0.02387 2030 No (64.20%)
iii) 10,137.986 0.02319 2030 Yes (65.21%)
iv) 10,140.825 0.02320 2028 Yes (65.20%)
v) 9582.016 0.02192 2025 Yes (67.12%)