Table 2.
Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on bank performance and bank stability: A global perspective.
Panel A: Bank performance |
Panel B: Bank stability |
||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(1) |
(2) |
(3) |
(4) |
(5) |
(6) |
(7) |
(8) |
(9) |
|
ROAA | ROAE | NIM | CIN | ZSC | NPL | PRK | LRK | ORK | |
COVID-19 | -0.357 * ** | -1.489 * * | -0.685 * ** | -0.383 * ** | 0.414 * ** | 0.047 | 0.315 * ** | 1.261 * ** | 0.116 * ** |
(0.114) | (0.603) | (0.117) | (0.075) | (0.025) | (0.051) | (0.084) | (0.449) | (0.041) | |
SIZE | 0.499 * ** | 3.143 * ** | -0.156 * ** | -11.846 * ** | 0.092 * ** | 0.137 * ** | 0.177 * ** | 1.211 * ** | 0.338 * ** |
(0.150) | (1.128) | (0.017) | (.326) | (0.003) | (0.007) | (0.008) | (0.196) | (0.005) | |
CAP | 0.078 * ** | 0.219 * ** | 0.097 * ** | -0.202 * ** | -0.034 * ** | -0.010 * ** | -0.015 * | -0.147 * ** | -0.003 * * |
(0.012) | (0.049) | (0.014) | (0.003) | (0.006) | (0.003) | (0.008) | (0.040) | (0.001) | |
LIQ | 0.021 | 0.338 | 0.377 | -11.224 * ** | -0.155 | -0.163 | -0.015 | -0.255 | -0.384 * * |
(0.219) | (1.178) | (0.173) | (2.158) | (0.145) | (0.112) | (0.161) | (0.84) | (0.182) | |
LTA | 0.094 * ** | 0.311 * ** | -0.002 | -0.241 * ** | -0.007 * ** | -0.018 * ** | -0.006 * ** | -0.025 * ** | -0.008 * ** |
(0.001) | (0.011) | (0.002) | (0.019) | (0.002) | (0.001) | (0.002) | (0.009) | (0.001) | |
DIV | 0.012 * ** | 0.070 * ** | 0.041 * ** | -0.203 * ** | -0.091 * ** | -0.002 * ** | -0.001 * * | -0.007 * * | -0.001 * ** |
(0.001) | (0.005) | (0.001) | (0.009) | (0.001) | (0. 000) | (0.001) | (0.004) | (0. 000) | |
CON | 0.010 * ** | 0.098 * ** | 0.012 * | -0.152 * ** | -0.003 * | -0.003 * * | 0.002 | 0.029 | -0.008 * ** |
(0.003) | (0.034) | (0.007) | (0.030) | (0.002) | (0.002) | (0.002) | (0.022) | (0.001) | |
GDPpc | 0.012 * | 0.224 * ** | 0.104 * ** | -0.174 * * | 0.013 * ** | 0.007 * * | 0.027 * ** | 0.054 * * | 0.015 * ** |
(0.007) | (0.055) | (0.005) | (0.069) | (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.006) | (0.027) | (0.003) | |
INF | -0.321 * ** | -0.381 * ** | -0.133 * ** | -0.356 * ** | 0.005 | -0.003 | 0.020 | 0.011 | 0.031 |
(0.008) | (0.041) | (0.006) | (0.075) | (0.005) | (0.003) | (0.016) | (0.029) | (0.023) | |
-4.515 * ** | -23.924 * * | 1.002 | 149.472 * ** | -3.173 * ** | 3.126 * ** | 2.064 * * | 15.355 * * | 0.557 | |
(1.357) | (9.789) | (1.983) | (4.728) | (0.794) | (0.915) | (0.903) | (6.813) | (0.532) | |
Observations | 24,953 | 24,601 | 24,940 | 24,906 | 22,781 | 12,602 | 24,270 | 23,729 | 23,838 |
R-squared | 0.144 | 0.133 | 0.184 | 0.151 | 0.162 | 0.124 | 0.123 | 0.122 | 0.132 |
Bank FE | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Time FE | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes |
This table shows the results for the baseline regression on analyzing the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on bank performance and stability. The sample consists of 2073 banks in 106 countries from 2016 Q1 to 2021 Q2. Panel A represents the outcomes for bank performance measured as ROA, ROE, NIM, and CIN. Panel B shows the bank stability results, which are measured as ZSC, NPL PRK, LRK, and ORK. COVID-19 is our primary explanatory variable of interest which equals one during the first three quarters of 2020 and otherwise zero. We also control several bank-specific and country-specific factors, time (quarter) fixed effects, and bank-fixed effects. Robust standard errors are clustered at the country level and reported in parentheses *** p < 0.01, ** p < 0.05, * p < 0.1.