Table 2. Vaccine effectiveness estimates against influenza A(H3N2), overall and variant-specific, SPSN, Canada, 1 November 2022–6 January 2023 (weeks 44–1) (n = 1,451).
Total | Cases | Controls | Unadjusted VEa | Adjustedb VEa | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N | n vacc | N | % | n vacc | N | % | % | 95% CI | % | 95% CI | ||||
Primary analysis | 1,451 | 75 | 471 | 16 | 361 | 980 | 37 | 68 | 57 to 75 | 54 | 38 to 66 | |||
Age-stratified | ||||||||||||||
1–19 years | 528 | 25 | 216 | 12 | 81 | 312 | 26 | 63 | 39 to 77 | 47 | 11 to 69 | |||
20–64 years | 704 | 29 | 212 | 14 | 155 | 492 | 32 | 66 | 47 to 78 | 58 | 33 to 73 | |||
≥ 65 years | 219 | 21 | 43 | 49 | 125 | 176 | 71 | 61 | 23 to 80 | 59 | 15 to 80 | |||
Variant-specific | ||||||||||||||
All S156d viruses | 1,164 | 27 | 184 | 15 | 361 | 980 | 37 | 71 | 55 to 81 | 53 | 25 to 70 | |||
All H156e viruses | 1,187 | 38 | 207 | 18 | 361 | 980 | 37 | 61 | 44 to 74 | 50 | 24 to 67 | |||
H156 with T135f | 1,120 | 22 | 140 | 16 | 361 | 980 | 37 | 68 | 49 to 80 | 52 | 19 to 71 | |||
H156 with K135g, all SPSN provinces | 1,033 | 13 | 53 | 25 | 361 | 980 | 37 | 44 | −6 to 71 | 46 | −13 to 74 | |||
H156 with K135g, British Columbia only | 243 | 13 | 47 | 28 | 94 | 196 | 48 | 59 | 17 to 79 | 44 | −22 to 75 |
CI: confidence interval; ECDC: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control; VE: vaccine effectiveness; OR: odds ratio; PLR: penalised logistic regression; SPSN: Sentinel Practitioner Surveillance Network; vac: vaccinated; VE: vaccine effectiveness.
a OR compared influenza test positivity between vaccinated and unvaccinated participants using logistic regression, adjusting for confounders as specified. VE was calculated as (1 − OR) × 100%.
b Adjusted for age group (1–19, 20–64, ≥ 65 years), province (Alberta, British Columbia, Ontario, Quebec) and calendar time based on bi-weekly categories (44–45, 46–47, 48–49, 50–51, 52–1). Age stratified estimates not further adjusted for finer age sub-categories.
c Vaccination status based on patient self-report; defined as receipt of 2022/23 seasonal influenza vaccine at least 2 weeks before symptom onset. Patients vaccinated less than 2 weeks before onset of symptoms or with unknown vaccination status or timing were excluded.
d 3C.2a1b.2a.2 viruses that are H156S (B) like the A/Darwin/9/2021 (egg-passaged) and A/Darwin/6/2021 (cell-passaged) vaccine strains (i.e. S156 ECDC subgroups ii-iv) [12] (Supplementary Table S1).
e 3C.2a1b.2a.2 viruses that remain H156 (B) and with E50K (C) (as per H156 ECDC subgroup i).
f 3C.2a1b.2a.2 viruses that remain H156 (B) and with E50K (C) (as per H156 ECDC subgroup i) but excluding viruses bearing K or A substitution at position 135 (i.e. T135 viruses, excluding viruses with T135K or T135A (A)(RBS)(−CHO) substitutions).
g 3C.2a1b.2a.2 viruses that remain H156 (B) and with E50K (C) (as per H156 ECDC subgroup i) plus additional substitutions F79V + T135K (A)(RBS)(−CHO) + I140K (A) + G275D(C).