Table 3.

Estimates generated from local clock (FLC) models with a gamma prior on the clock rate.Estimates include the evolutionary rates (substitution/site/year) estimated for the whole phylogeny, and the Netherlands and Denmark foreground branches. The 95 per cent HPD interval is shown in brackets.

Model	Estimated evolutionary rate (mean)	Netherlands evolutionary rate	Denmark evolutionary rate
FLC (stem*)	4.54  ×  10−4 [4.13  ×  10−4, 4.93 × 10−4]	1.83  ×  10−3 [1.3  ×  10−3, 2.41 × 10−3]	2.43  ×  10−4 [1.76  ×  10−4, 3.17 × 10−4]
FLC (shared, stem*)	4.78  ×  10−4 [4.36  ×  10−4, 5.2 × 10−4]	6.59  ×  10−3 [3  ×  10−3, 1.05 × 10−2]