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. 2023 Feb 3;6(2):e2255589. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.55589

Table 1. Expected and Observed Mammogram Rates for March 20 to February 21 and March 21 to February 22 From a Prediction Model Using the 2017 to 2019 Cohortsa.

Characteristic March 20 to February 21 March 21 to February 22
Mammogram rate O/E ratio (95% CI) Mammogram rate O/E ratio (95% CI)
Expected, % (95% CI) Observed, % Expected, % (95% CI) Observed, %
All 47.79 (47.68-47.91) 39.53 0.83 (0.82-0.83) 48.92 (48.75-49.08) 47.11 0.96 (0.96-0.97)
Age, y
50-65 35.15 (34.88-35.40) 27.50 0.78 (0.78-0.79) 35.56 (35.19-35.93 32.98 0.93 (0.92-0.94)
66-70 50.70 (50.54-50.87) 42.31 0.83 (0.83-0.84) 51.69 (51.45-51.92) 49.83 0.96 (0.96-0.97)
71-74 49.51 (49.31-49.71) 40.91 0.83 (0.82-0.83) 50.78 (50.49-51.07) 48.80 0.96 (0.96-0.97)
Race
Black 44.57 (44.19-44.95) 37.15 0.83 (0.83-0.84) 45.48 (44.93-46.02) 43.80 0.96 (0.95-0.97)
Hispanic 38.28 (37.80-38.75) 29.29 0.77 (0.76-0.77) 38.90 (38.22-39.58) 36.22 0.93 (0.92-0.95)
White 48.98 (48.85-49.11) 40.83 0.83 (0.83-0.84) 50.15 (49.97-50.34) 48.33 0.96 (0.96-0.97)
Otherb 45.36 (44.89-45.82) 34.96 0.77 (0.76-0.78) 46.55 (45.87-47.22) 44.77 0.96 (0.95-0.98)
Medicaid
No 50.80 (50.68-50.93) 42.45 0.84 (0.83-0.84) 51.90 (51.72-52.08) 50.08 0.96 (0.96-0.97)
Yes 31.61 (31.35-31.87) 23.26 0.74 (0.73-0.74) 31.80 (31.43-32.17) 28.74 0.90 (0.89-0.91)
PCP
No 45.82 (45.68-45.96) 37.72 0.82 (0.82-0.83) 46.99 (46.79-47.19) 45.78 0.97 (0.97-0.98)
Yes 52.57 (52.37-52.78) 43.94 0.84 (0.83-0.84) 53.92 (53.63-54.22) 51.59 0.96 (0.95-0.96)
Comorbidity score
<0 51.58 (51.38-51.77) 42.60 0.83 (0.82-0.83) 53.00 (52.72-53.28) 50.71 0.96 (0.95-0.96)
0 46.62 (46.45-46.79) 38.26 0.82 (0.82-0.83) 47.52 (47.27- 47.77) 46.04 0.97 (0.96-0.97)
>0 43.68 (43.43-43.92) 36.89 0.84 (0.84-0.85) 44.63 (44.27-44.98) 43.72 0.98 (0.97-0.99)

Abbreviations: O/E, observed/expected; PCP, primary care physician.

a

A linear probability model was used for each subcohort, with year as the only variable in the models.

b

Other includes Asian/Pacific Islanders, American Indian/Alaska native or others.