Skip to main content
. 2023 Feb 4;23:242. doi: 10.1186/s12889-023-15098-9

Table 3.

Analysis of the interaction of GBD and cardiometabolic risk factors associated with CVD

Subgroup CVD Events Person-Years Rated HRa(95%CI) HRb(95%CI) HRc(95%CI)
GBD Hypertension
- - 414 35,591 116.32 1.00 (reference) 1.00 (ref.) 1.00 (ref.)
-  +  385 12,842 299.8 2.58 (2.25,2.97) 1.89 (1.64,2.18) 1.82 (1.58,2.11)
 +  - 150 3093 484.97 4.17 (3.46,5.02) 2.76 (2.28,3,35) 2.65 (2.19,3.23)
 +   +  251 1790 1402.23 11.80 (10.08,13.81) 6.02( 5.09,7.12) 5.58 (4.71,6.62)
GBD T2DM
- - 681 46,083 147.78 1.00 (reference) 1.00 (ref.) 1.00 (ref.)
-  +  118 2350 502.13 3.40(2.79,4.13) 2.28 (1.87,2.77) 2.12 (1.74,2.58)
 +  - 337 4380 769.41 5.15(4.52,5.87) 3.39 (2.96,3.89) 3.21 (2.80,3.69)
 +   +  64 503 1272.37 8.54(6.61,11.03) 3.94 (3.03,5.140 3.50 (2.68,4.56)
GBD Dyslipidemia
- - 474 34,761 136.36 1.00 (reference) 1.00 (ref.) 1.00 (ref.)
-  +  325 13,672 237.12 1.74 (1.51,2.00) 1.34 (1.16,1.55) 1.10 (0.94,1.28)
 +  - 224 2993 748.41 5.43 (4.63,6.36) 3.31 (2.81,3.91) 3.00 (2.54,3.56)
 +   +  177 1890 936.51 6.81 (5.73,8.10) 3.80 (3.18,4.54) 2.98 (2.46,3.60)
GBD Overweight
- - 193 20,661 93.41 1.00 (reference) 1.00 (ref.) 1.00 (ref.)
-  +  606 27,772 218.21 2.34 (1.99,2.75) 1.62 (1.37,1.90) 1.27 (1.24,1.73)
 +  - 77 1305 590.04 6.26 (4.80,8.15) 3.45 (2.63,4.52) 3.41 (2.60,4.47)
 +   +  324 3578 905.54 9.60 (8.03,11.48) 4.79 (3.98,5.77) 4.05 (3.35,4.89)
GBD Abdominal obesity
- - 184 20,599 89.32 1.00 (reference) 1.00 (ref.) 1.00 (ref.)
-  +  615 27,834 220.95 2.48 (2.10,2.92) 1.58 (1.34,1.87) 1.25 (1.04,1.50)
 +  - 71 1224 580.07 6.41 (4.87,8.43) 4.41 (3.34,5.81) 4.28 (3.24,5.65)
 +   +  330 3659 901.89 10.01 (8.36,12.00) 4.48 (3.69,5.43) 3.30 (2.68,4.06)

Model a was unadjusted

Model b was adjusted for age and sex

Model c was further adjusted for exercise, hypertension, T2DM, overweight, and HDL levels

d Rate per 10,000 person-years. (GBD gallbladder disease, T2DM type 2 diabetes mellitus, CVD cardiovascular disease, HDL high-density lipoprotein cholesterol)