Table 2.
Forecast of the overall tuberculosis incidence of in the Russian Federation according to the created scenarios for a 5-year period
| Prognosis | Years | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | |
| Conservative SE coverage (sharp decrease), % | 47.37 | 58.95 | 60 | 62.11 | 63.16 |
| Forecast according to the conservative scenario, per 100,000 population | 26.06 | 21.92 | 17.48 | 13.27 | 8.96 |
| Basic SE coverage (current trend unchanged), % | 75.89 | 76.74 | 77.04 | 77.66 | 78.15 |
| Forecast according to the basic scenario, per 100,000 population | 26.31 | 22.07 | 17.63 | 13.4 | 9.08 |
| Optimistic SE coverage (sharp increase), % | 82.11 | 85.26 | 86.32 | 88.42 | 89.47 |
| Forecast according to the optimistic scenario, per 100,000 population | 26.36 | 22.15 | 17.71 | 13.5 | 9.18 |