Table 8.
Impacts on the production and labor demand in selected sectors in percentage change from BAU under Mild COVID-19 impact.
| MILD_COVID | SEVE_COVID | MILD_MITIG | SEVE_MITIG | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2025 | 2021 | 2025 | 2021 | 2025 | 2021 | 2025 | |
| Production | ||||||||
| Agriculture Large-Scale Farming | −7.80 | −0.79 | −22.09 | −1.54 | 2.66 | −1.60 | −7.96 | −2.24 |
| Agriculture Small-Scale Farming | −3.86 | −1.46 | −3.75 | −2.24 | −4.02 | −3.21 | −3.94 | −4.30 |
| Mining | −13.91 | −1.76 | −21.33 | −2.97 | −8.31 | −3.50 | −14.74 | −4.71 |
| Food | −3.60 | −1.06 | −7.68 | −1.89 | 5.42 | −2.15 | 4.33 | −2.99 |
| Construction | −16.41 | −2.34 | −24.51 | −3.88 | −43.25 | −5.05 | −56.12 | −6.62 |
| Business | −3.75 | −0.92 | −2.20 | −1.57 | 1.83 | −2.30 | 4.18 | −3.11 |
| Labor demand | ||||||||
| Agriculture Large-Scale Farming | −5.73 | 0.62 | −26.42 | 0.74 | 10.07 | 0.80 | −5.95 | 1.06 |
| Agriculture Small-Scale Farming | −0.02 | −0.04 | 0.18 | −0.06 | −0.23 | −0.08 | −0.07 | −0.11 |
| Mining | −5.29 | 0.09 | −19.58 | 0.02 | 6.01 | −0.37 | −6.87 | −0.57 |
| Food | −2.79 | 0.60 | −8.22 | 0.74 | 13.35 | 1.05 | 13.30 | 1.34 |
| Construction | −8.82 | −1.55 | −21.07 | −2.62 | −47.87 | −3.64 | −64.75 | −5.06 |
| Business | 3.53 | 0.24 | 6.51 | 0.36 | 14.53 | 0.60 | 19.20 | 0.84 |
Notes: MILD_COVID = Scenario assuming mild impacts and fast recovery shock from COVID-19. MILD_MITIG = Scenario MILD_COVID with mitigation measures. MILD-RECOV = MILD-MITIG with recovery measures, MILD_GENDE = MILD_RECOV with gender-specific recovery measures. MILD_GEND2 = MILD_RECOV with alternative gender-specific recovery measures.
Source: Simulation results