Table 9.
Impacts on households, firms, and government in percentage change from BAU under Mild COVID impact.
| MILD_COVID | SEVE_COVID | MILD_MITIG | SEVE_MITIG | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2025 | 2021 | 2025 | 2021 | 2025 | 2021 | 2025 | |
| Households rural | ||||||||
| Total income | −1.06 | 0.26 | −11.66 | 0.50 | 14.82 | 0.60 | 3.39 | 0.83 |
| Income from labor | −1.33 | 0.57 | −13.16 | 0.99 | 6.38 | 1.24 | −6.27 | 1.70 |
| Income from capital | −1.18 | −0.37 | −13.40 | −0.46 | 9.15 | −0.74 | −4.57 | −0.96 |
| Income from transfers | −0.03 | 0.01 | −4.73 | 0.08 | 48.78 | 0.14 | 44.02 | 0.21 |
| Savings | 3.65 | 0.78 | −0.85 | 1.40 | 3.76 | 1.92 | −0.98 | 2.63 |
| Households urban | ||||||||
| Total income | −0.90 | 0.31 | −9.86 | 0.60 | 7.21 | 0.82 | −1.76 | 1.12 |
| Income from labor | −1.20 | 0.42 | −10.72 | 0.76 | 1.48 | 1.03 | −8.04 | 1.39 |
| Income from capital | −0.07 | 0.04 | −13.57 | 0.24 | 4.88 | 0.39 | −8.80 | 0.60 |
| Income from transfers | −0.04 | 0.02 | −7.19 | 0.13 | 24.24 | 0.21 | 16.99 | 0.32 |
| Savings | 3.72 | 0.79 | −0.87 | 1.40 | 4.54 | 1.92 | −0.39 | 2.63 |
| Firms | ||||||||
| Disposable income | −0.07 | 0.04 | −13.57 | 0.24 | 4.88 | 0.39 | −8.80 | 0.60 |
| Government | ||||||||
| Total income | −2.25 | 0.00 | −13.20 | 0.05 | −9.52 | 0.10 | −20.56 | 0.15 |
Notes: MILD_COVID = Scenario assuming mild impacts and fast recovery shock from COVID-19. MILD_MITIG = Scenario MILD_COVID with mitigation measures. MILD-RECOV = MILD-MITIG with recovery measures. MILD_GENDE = MILD_RECOV with gender-specific recovery measures. MILD_GEND2 = MILD_RECOV with alternative gender-specific recovery measures.
Source: Simulation results