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. 2023 Feb 8;71(1):35–98. doi: 10.1057/s41308-022-00196-2

Table 2.

Estimates of effective schooling time over the 2019–2021 period

All Elementary Secondary
With virtual learning at 25% effectiveness
All 69.4 71.7 64.2
[68.7, 70.1] [71.0, 72.3] [63.4, 65.0]
Private schools 74.4 74.7 71.6
[73.9, 75.0] [74.1, 75.2] [70.9, 72.2]
Public schools, all 68.9 71.5 63.8
[68.2, 69.6] [70.8, 72.1] [63.0, 64.6]
Public schools, top-25% income 65.9 68.5 60.1
[65.1, 66.6] [67.8, 69.2] [59.2, 61.0]
Public schools, bottom-25% income 72.9 74.9 68.6
[72.3, 73.5] [74.4, 75.5] [67.9, 69.3]
With virtual learning at 0% effectiveness
All 59.2 62.2 52.3
[58.3, 60.1] [61.4, 63.1] [51.2, 53.3]
Private schools 65.9 66.2 62.1
[65.2, 66.7] [65.5, 67.0] [61.2, 62.9]
Public schools, all 58.5 62.0 51.7
[57.6, 59.5] [61.1, 62.8] [50.6, 52.8]
Public schools, top-25% income 54.5 58.0 46.8
[53.5, 55.5] [57.1, 58.9] [45.6, 48.0]
Public schools, bottom-25% income 63.9 66.6 58.2
[63.1, 64.7] [65.9, 67.3] [57.2, 59.1]

The upper panel reports the share of effective schooling time for the 2019–2021 period as a percent of what schooling time would have been without the pandemic under the assumption that virtual learning was 25% as effective as in-person learning. The lower panel reports the share of effective schooling time under the assumption that virtual learning was not effective (i.e., the figures correspond to the share of potential schooling time over the 2019–2021 period that was effectively spent in the classroom). In each cell, the bracketed numbers correspond to lower and upper bounds based on the Burbio estimates reported in Table 1, and the point estimate is computed as the mid-point of the interval