Table 6.

Wheat consumption projection by considering population dynamics and based on predicted consumption in the sampled countries.

Country	China	India
Kg/capita/year in 2019	65.8	60.4
Total wheat consumed in 2019 (million tons)	96.4	82.5
Predicted consumption (per capita/kg/yearly)
2030	76 (+15.5)	74.0 (+22.5)
2050	95 (+44.3)	94 (+55.6)
Projected aggregate wheat demand in 2030
Low fertility rate assumption	109.2 (+13.2)	108.6 (+32.4)
High fertility rate assumption	113.4 (+17.6)	114.0 (+37.4)
Projected aggregate wheat demand in 2050
Low fertility rate assumption	123.0 (+27.6)	140.0 (+69.7)
High fertility rate assumption	144.0 (+49.4)	168.5 (+104.2)

Source: Authors' estimation.

Values in parenthesis and percentage change compared to the base level of per capita and total wheat consumption in 2019.