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. 2023 Feb 10;14:740. doi: 10.1038/s41467-023-35943-0

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© The Author(s) 2023

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Fig. 2 — For 10,000 randomly chosen age-based priority orders the black dots show the total expected number of deaths (a) and hospital admissions (b) over the remainder of the Alpha wave (8th December 2020 to 15th May 2021, x-axis) and over the period until boosters (8th December 2020 to 1st September 2021, y-axis). We mark the results associated with vaccinating in chronological order oldest first (red circle) and youngest first (blue square).