Table 5.

Interrupted time series analysis using a spatial regression (spatial error model) framework for daily outflows from the 10 public health regions held back under tighter restrictions to other public health regions during the 7 days before and after the intervention on July 17, 2020 in Ontario, Canada. Mobility outflows and socio-economic covariates calculated at the aggregate dissemination area (ADA) level (n = 823).

Covariate	ITS 1			ITS 2
	β	SE	p	β	SE	p
Intercept	352	13.5	<0.001	578	13.7	<0.001
Time (T)	−9.10	2.80	0.001	−9.11	2.55	<0.001
Intervention Period (P)	187	32.3	<0.001	186	29.4	<0.001
Time:Intervention (T*P)	−6.37	3.70	0.086	−6.32	3.37	0.061
Weekend Day	151	9.31	<0.001	151	8.47	<0.001
Distance to Boundary				−4.43	0.186	<0.001
Economic Dependency				−19.5	4.43	<0.001
Ethno-Cultural Index				−169.8	2.71	<0.001
Residential Instability				4.60	3.77	0.222
Population Density				22.2	3.15	<0.001
AIC (AIC for LM) λ = SAC	164000	(164120)	λ = 0.252	159800	(159990)	λ = 0.315