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. 2023 Feb 8;11(1):e003136. doi: 10.1136/bmjdrc-2022-003136

Table 2.

Subanalysis for the risk of diabetes mellitus with exposure to INSTIs in people living with HIV

Analysis Arms Studies (n) References INSTIs group (n) Non-INSTIs group (n) RR (95% CI) Heterogeneity (I2), P value Subgroup analysis:
P value, heterogeneity (I2)
Interpretation of subgroup analysis
All studies INSTIs versus PI and/or NNRTIs 13 27 30 38–41 43–49 27 610 44 794 0.80 (0.67 to 0.96) 29%
INSTI versus other drug classes INSTI versus PI 6 27 30 39 41 43 47 24 771 21 049 0.78 (0.61 to 1.01) 27% 0.74, 0% No subgroup effect,
minimal heterogeneity
INSTI versus NNRTI 7 27 30 38 40 45 46 48 10 350 17 842 0.75 (0.63 to 0.89) 0%
By ART status at baseline ART-naïve 11 27 30 38–41 43–46 48 17 940 37 972 0.78 (0.65 to 0.94) 3% 0.29, 23% No subgroup effect, minimal heterogeneity
ART-experienced 2 47 49 8900 1389 0.85 (0.43 to 1.68) 0%
By presence of conflict of interest Reported conflict of interest 9 30 38–40 43 45 47–49 22 522 21 801 0.85 (0.78 to 0.93) 0% 0.44, 23% No subgroup effect, minimal heterogeneity
No reported conflict of interest 4 27 41 44 46 5 088 22 993 0.65 (0.29 to 1.46) 59%
By age Participants ≥18 years 11 27 30 38–41 43–46 49 11 798 42 371 0.77 (0.65 to 0.91) 26% 0.07, 29% Statistically significant, qualitative subgroup effect
Included participants below 18 years 2 47 48 15 812 2423 1.09 (0.13 to 9.29) 0%
By study setting Multicenter 11 27 30 38–41 45–49 26 620 38 971 0.84 (0.77 to 0.93) 0% <0.01, 23% Statistically significant, quantitative subgroup effect
Single center 2 43 44 990 5823 0.38 (0.13 to 1.11) 0%
By geographical origin of the study participants Multinational 5 38–40 45 47 1309 1277 0.87 (0.81 to 0.94) 0% <0.01, 13% Statistically significant subgroup effect by region of origin, qualitative effect
African 2 46 48 1000 650 2.99 (2.53 to 3.54) 0%
North American 3 30 41 47 20 908 20 985 0.86 (0.53 to 1.42) 45%
Europe 3 27 43 44 4393 21 882 0.54 (0.27 to 1.08) 3%
By study design RCT 8 38–41 45 48 49 2912 3135 0.88 (0.81 to 0.96) 0% 0.27, 12% No subgroup effect, minimal heterogeneity
Cohort 5 27 30 43 44 47 24 698 41 659 0.69 (0.44 to 1.10) 60%
By primary outcome Virological outcome 8 38–41 45 46 48 49 2912 3135 0.88 (0.81 to 0.96) 0% 0.16, 29% No subgroup effect. Moderate heterogeneity.
Metabolic outcome 5 27 30 43 44 47 24 698 41 659 0.69 (0.44 to 1.10) 60%
By follow-up duration ≥12 months 8 27 30 38 41 43–45 48 11 219 41 464 0.70 (0.53 to 0.94) 24% 0.07, 29% No subgroup effect, minimal heterogeneity
<12 months 6 39 40 45–47 49 16 460 3374 0.88 (0.79 to 0.99) 0%
By type of INSTI in ART-naïve patients Dolutegravir 7 30 39 40 45–48 5751 17 679 0.94 (0.53 to 1.67) 43% 0.35, 61% No subgroup effect, moderate heterogeneity
Elvitegravir 2 30 47 5819 16 324 0.80 (0.01 to 123.82) 78%
Raltegravir 4 30 38 41 47 2172 17 814 1.23 (0.91 to 1.66) 0%
By type of INSTI in ART-experienced patients Dolutegravir 2 47 49 3889 1389 0.92 (0.21 to 3.99) 0% 0.57, 0% No subgroup effect, minimal heterogeneity
Elvitegravir 1 47 4281 1109 0.75 (0.48 to 1.17)
Raltegravir 1 47 730 1109 1.09 (0.60 to 1.99)
By viral hepatitis comorbidities Hepatitis B and C included 10 27 30 38–41 43–49 26 824 44 041 0.76 (0.58 to 1.00) 67.2% 0.88, 12% No subgroup effect, minimal heterogeneity
Only hepatitis C included 3 27 30 38–41 43–49 786 753 0.87 (0.78 to 0.98) 32.8%
By studies providing adjusted risk estimates 5 0.83 (0.58 to 1.18) 100%

the boldfaced values are Statistically significant.

.ART, antiretroviral therapy; INSTI, integrase strand transfer inhibitor; NNRTI, non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor; PI, protease inhibitor; RCT, randomized controlled trial; RR, relative risk.