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. 2015 Oct;136(Suppl 1):S10–S40. doi: 10.1542/peds.2014-3667C

TABLE 2.

Selected Studies of Potential Markers Identifying ASD in Infants Aged 12 Months

First Author and Year of Publication Findings Type of Study Sample Ascertainment Outcome Diagnosis Comments
Social/emotional behavioral markers (from studies with outcome assessment)
 Bryson et al, 32 2007 Between ages 6 and 12 mo, in subset of siblings with change in cognitive development between 12 and 24 mo, 5 of 6 infants were “more difficult to engage socially” (“less … eye contact, no or very little social smiling, and little interest or pleasure in interacting with others”); minimal exploration of toys; atypical sensory behavior (striking visual fixation); repetitive/atypical motor behaviors Prospective case series 9 SIBS-A later diagnosed with ASD Recruited from multidisciplinary autism diagnostic and treatment centers Gold standard diagnostic assessment for ASD at age 36 mo by using ADI-R, ADOS, and DSM-IV-TR criteria Assessments every 6 mo from age 6–24 mo, including:
Clinical diagnosis of ASD for 4 children at 24 mo and for 3 at 30 mo • AOSI and/or ADOS to assess for ASD symptoms
• BSID-II to assess cognition
• CDI-WG to assess gestural and early language development
• Infant Temperament Scale or Toddler Behavior Assessment Questionnaire to assess temperament
Semi-structured interviews regarding parental concerns
 Maestro et al, 71 2005 • Between ages 0 and 6 mo, significant group differences in social attention (high scores in social versus nonsocial stimuli in “typical” infants) Retrospective video study • 15 children aged 3.5–5.2 y with AD diagnosis Subjects with AD recruited from community sources referred to public academic hospital; controls were kindergarten attendees Diagnosis made at study entry through symptom checklist based on DSM-IV plus ≥30 score on CARS • From each group, home movies lasting at least 10 min coded by blinded observers for frequency of behaviors via an 8-item “grid” for assessment of social and nonsocial attention
• Between ages 7 and 12 mo, no group differences in social or nonsocial attention; but behaviors regarding attention to nonsocial stimuli increased in both AD and typical groups but “more evident” in the former • 13 “typical” children with mean age of 4.7 y • Social attention behaviors assessed: looking at people, orienting toward people, smiling at people, vocalizing to people
• Nonsocial attention behaviors assessed: looking at objects, orienting toward objects, smiling at objects, vocalizing to objects
 Maestro et al, 72 2002 Between ages 0 and 6 mo, significant group differences in social attention and social behavior, including: Retrospective video study • 15 children aged 3.5–5.6 (mean: 4.1) y with diagnosis of AD (n = 7) or PPD-NOS (n = 8) Controls were kindergarten attendees Diagnosis made at study entry through symptom checklist based on DSM-IV plus score of ≥30 on CARS • Home movies lasting at least 10 min for each subject during age 0–6 mo were rated by blinded observers for frequency of behaviors by using 13-item “grid” covering 3 developmental areas of social attention (eg, looking at people), social behavior (eg, anticipating the other’s aim), and nonsocial attention (eg, “explorative activity with object”)
• Less frequent looking at people (P < .001) • 15 “typical” “normal” children with mean age of 4.7 y
• Less frequent vocalizing to people (P < .001) Matched for gender and age in home videos
• Less frequent orienting toward people (P > .01)
No group differences in items referring to interest and attention versus nonsocial stimuli
 Macari et al, 46 2012 At 12 mo, 7 ADOS-T items optimized classification of children with and without ASD at 24 mo Prospective longitudinal study • 53 at-risk infants (SIBS-A); 13 diagnosed with ASD at 24 mo Recruited from multiple sources (existing research programs, Web site, advertising, and word of mouth) Clinical best diagnosis of ASD at 24 mo based on developmental and medical history, developmental and language assessments and ADOS, and DSM-IV criteria • Subjects assessed at 12 mo and followed up to 24 mo
• 11 of 13 children with ASD and 68 of 71 children without ASD correctly classified Ongoing • 31 infants at no known risk (SIBS-TD) • MSEL to assess development
These items included: level of engagement, amount of requesting, imitation, fussiness, showing, gestures, and intonation • ADOS-T to measure social and communicative behaviors
• Item-level analysis of ADOS-T, “decision tree” procedures to optimize prediction of ASD
 Nadig et al, 38 2007 At 6 mo, nonsignificant trend for controls to require fewer number of calls to respond to name Prospective longitudinal study • 55 at-risk infants (SIBS-A) Enrolled in university-based study Clinical best diagnosis of AD or PDD-NOS at 24 mo based on clinical observation, ADOS, DSM-IV criteria • Subjects followed up to age 36 mo
• 82% of controls responded on first or second call of name vs. 66% of SIBS-A Ongoing • 43 infants at no known risk (SIBS-TD) • MSEL to assess development
Aged 6 mo • ADOS to measure social and communicative behaviors
• Response-to-name experimental task videotaped at 6 and 12 mo and coded for number of calls it took for response to child’s name
• Same sample as in Merin et al, 73 2007
 Ozonoff et al, 22 2010 At 6 mo: Prospective longitudinal study • 25 high-risk infants with later diagnosis of AD or PDD-NOS (22 were SIBS-A) Sample drawn from larger longitudinal study Classification as ASD or TD at 36 mo using Baby Siblings Research Consortium definitions (ADOS and DSM-IV-TR criteria for AD or PDD-NOS) Assessments at ages 6, 12, 18, 24, and 36 mo of:
• No group differences in social communication behaviors (including frequency of gaze to faces, shared smiles, and vocalizations to others) • 25 gender-matched SIBS-TD determined later to have TD • Frequencies of 6 social communication behaviors (gaze to faces, gaze to objects, smiles, nonverbal vocalizations, single-word verbalizations, phrase vocalizations), recorded onto DVDs and coded during MSEL Visual Reception subtest
• Better (NS) social communication behaviors for ASD versus TD outcome group “on all variables” • Frequency of infant social engagement rated by blind examiners
• MSEL to assess cognitive functioning
• Symptom onset by parent reports
 Werner et al, 74 2000 At 8–10 mo, significant (P < .05) main effect of diagnostic group for social behaviors, after children with late-onset ASD (n = 3) were removed from analysis Retrospective video study • 15 infants later diagnosed with AD (n = 8) or PPD-NOS (n = 7) Participants of earlier study plus additional recruits from university infant research pool Confirmation of AD or PPD-NOS based on DSM-III-R plus ≥30 score on CARS • Home videos between ages 8–10 mo coded for presence or absence of behaviors categorized as social (e.g., looking at others, orienting to name being called), communication (vocalizations), and repetitive
• Infants with ASD “much less likely” (P < .005) than infants with TD to orient when their name was called • 15 children with TD
 Young et al, 75 2009 • No infant in Merin et al, 73 2007, who showed abnormal gaze behavior (decreased eye contact) at 6 mo had any signs of autism at outcome Prospective • 33 high-risk infants (SIBS-A) Refer to Merin et al, 73 2007 (below) Clinical diagnosis of autism at 18 and/or 24 mo based on ADOS-G supplemented by M-CHAT and MSEL • Longitudinal follow-up for sample in Merin et al, 73 2007
• The 3 infants in sample who were diagnosed with autism by 24 mo did not exhibit abnormal gaze patterns at 6 mo and had typical affective responses at 6 mo • 25 infant SIBS-TD Clinical outcome data available on 49 infants • Assessment at 6 mo of eye-tracking data and behavioral data during live mother–infant interaction
• MSEL to assess development at 6, 12, 18, and 24 mo
• VABS to assess social, communication, and motor skills at 12, 18, and 24 mo
• CDI to assess language development at 18 and 24 mo
 Zwaigenbaum et al, 45 2005 At 6 mo, siblings with later diagnosis of ASD showed: Prospective longitudinal study • 44 SIBS-A Recruited mainly at age ≤6 mo from autism diagnostic and treatment programs; low-risk infants recruited from nurseries in same regions Formal independent diagnostic assessment at 36 mo based on DSM-IV criteria, ADI-R, and ADOS • AOSI at 6 and 12 mo to assess autism-specific behaviors
• No difference in number of risk markers measured by using AOSI Ongoing (N = 88 followed up to age 24 mo; 6-mo data available on 44 SIBS-A) • 15 low-risk infants (no first- or second- degree relatives with ASD) Clinical diagnosis of ASD made at 24 mo in up to 7 SIBS-A who met DSM-IV criteria (confirmed by using ADI-R and ADOS) • Computerized visual orienting task at 6 and 12 mo to assess ability to disengage from 1 of 2 competing visual stimuli (attentional disengagement)
• No difference (P = .12) in disengagement of visual attention “Roughly” matched according to gender, birth order, and age; N values varied by assessment • IBQ at 6 and 12 mo to measure infant temperament
• Temperament characterized by marked passivity and decreased activity level (P = .019) Available 6-mo outcome data for 44 SIBS-A: • MSEL and CDI-WG at 12 mo to assess language and cognitive development
Compared with non-ASD siblings and controls • 4 with AD
Behavioral observations at 6 mo do not predict later diagnosis • 8 with ASD classification on ADOS
• 32 without ASD
Social/emotional behavioral markers (from studies without outcome assessments)
 Merin et al, 73 2007 At 6 mo, diminished gaze to mother’s eyes relative to mouth (10 of 11 infants with this finding were in at-risk group) Prospective • 31 at-risk infants (SIBS-A) Recruited by using research institute database and word of mouth Not done • Visual fixation assessment during reciprocal social interaction, conducted at age 6 mo via eye tracking during modified still-face paradigm
• 24 with an older sibling without autism • Same sample as in Nadig et al, 38 2007
Noland et al, 76 2010 At 6.5–9 mo, higher working memory scores for SIBS-A versus SIBS-TD for nonsocial stimuli; no group difference for social stimuli Prospective • 25 SIBS-A SIBS-A recruited primarily through university-based service and ASD outreach program; SIBS-TD recruited from telephone contacts by using state birth record database Not done • Trials at age 6.5 mo and/or 9 mo involving tasks relating to orienting toward social and nonsocial targets (stimuli); correct response was infant gaze toward location where target most recently appeared
• 30 SIBS-TD • Trials videotaped, coded for correct first looks
Yirmiya et al, 48 2006 At 4 mo: Prospective • 21 dyads of mothers and infants who were SIBS-A Comparison group recruited from hospital maternity wards At age 14 mo, 1 subject was suspected of having autism, a diagnosis confirmed at ages 24 and 36 mo by using ADI-R and ADOS-G Measures at age 4 and 14 mo:
• No significant group difference in mother–infant synchrony, although SIBS-A exhibited weaker synchrony during infant-led interactions Ongoing (N = 42 with 4-mo assessments) • 21 dyads and infants who were SIBS-TD • BSID-II to assess general development and language
• No significant group difference in infant gaze behavior during still-face procedure but more neutral affect and less upset with SIBS-A Matched on 1-to-1 basis according to chronologic age, gender, birth order, number of children in family, and Bayley mental and motor scales • ICQ to assess maternal perception of infant temperament
• Significantly more SIBS-A responded to name being called by mother than SIBS-TD Social engagement measures at 4 mo:
• Synchrony during mother–child free play interaction
• Infant gaze and affect during still-face paradigm
• Procedure to assess responsiveness to name being called
Language/communication behavioral markers (from studies with outcome assessment)
 Colgan et al, 77 2006 At 9–12 mo, decreased variety in types of social interaction gestures used was significantly associated with autism status Retrospective video study • 21 children later diagnosed with AD Recruited through mailings to child care centers and developmental evaluation centers; parent advocacy group meetings; hospital clinics; university-based autism subject registry Clinical diagnosis of AD made according to time of study recruitment (preschool age), by using DSM-III-R or DSM-IV criteria and, for 11 subjects, score >30 on CARS Home videotapes from ages 9–12 mo collected; edited footage totaling 5 min and including social scenes, comparable across groups, were coded for use of gestures
• Other measures were not associated with an AD diagnosis: total number of social interaction gestures, number of child-initiated social interaction gestures • 14 children with TD • Only gestures defined as social interaction were used in this study (“gestural act used to attract or maintain attention of another for social purposes”; eg, waving hello or good-bye, shaking head yes or no)
Landa and Garrett-Mayer, 49 2006 At 6 mo, no significant group differences in domains of motor, visual reception, and language development Prospective longitudinal • 24 children with later diagnosis of ASD SIBS-A recruited through Autism Society of America local chapters and university-based center for autism; children at low autism risk recruited through local physician offices and caregiver-child play groups ASD classified at 24 mo based on PLS, ADOS, and CDI MSEL to assess general and language development across 5 domains of nonsocial development (gross motor, fine motor, visual reception, receptive and expressive language); administered as close as possible to ages 6, 14, and 24 mo
• 11 with later diagnosis of language delay
• 52 classified as unaffected (at 24 mo)
58 SIBS-A and infants with no family history of autism evaluated at 6 mo
Paul et al, 78 2011 At age 6–12 mo, group differences for certain prelinguistic vocal behaviors Prospective cross-sectional design • 28–38 high-risk infants (SIB-A) Recruited from university research pool; also referrals from local pediatric practices, local autism advocacy groups, word of mouth, advertising in parenting media Provisional diagnoses at 24 mo based on clinical observations, ADOS-T, and MSEL • Vocalization samples collected at age 6, 9, and 12 mo during play with mother and standard set of toys
• Significantly fewer speech-like vocalizations and more nonspeech vocalization Ongoing (N = 43 who have participated in 24-mo follow-up) • 20–31 low-risk infants (no sibling with ASD diagnosis) Of the 24 high-risk subjects who made a 24-mo visit: • Detailed analysis of vocal production (eg, for consonant inventory, presence of canonical syllables) and development of prespeech vocalization
• Significantly fewer consonant types • 7 with ASD • Discriminant function analyses included only children at high risk
• Significantly fewer canonical syllable shapes • 6 with symptoms without meeting full BAP criteria
Differences in vocal production in first year of life associated with “outcomes in terms of autistic symptoms” in second year for children at high risk • 1 with nonautistic developmental delay
• 10 without a clinical diagnosis

Studies may evaluate markers in >1 category (see “Comments”). AD, autistic disorder; ADI-R, Autism Diagnostic Interview–Revised; ADOS, Autism Diagnostic Observation Schedule; ADOS-G, Autism Diagnostic Observation Schedule–Generic; ADOS-T, Autism Diagnostic Observation Schedule–Toddler Module; AOSI, Autism Observation Scale for Infants; BAP, broader autism phenotype; BSID-II, Bayley Scales of Infant Development–2nd edition; CARS, Childhood Autism Rating Scale; CDI-WG, MacArthur Communicative Development Inventories–Words and Gestures; DSM-III-R, Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Third Edition, Revised; DSM-IV, Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Fourth Edition; DSM-IV-TR, Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Fourth Edition, Text Revision; DVD, digital video disc (high-capacity optical disk); IBQ, Infant Behavior Questionnaire; ICQ, Infant Characteristics Questionnaire; M-CHAT, Modified Checklist for Autism in Toddlers; PLS, Preschool Language Scale; PDD-NOS, pervasive developmental disorder not otherwise specified; SIBS-A, younger siblings of children with ASD; SIBS-TD, younger siblings of children with typical development; TD, typical development; VABS, Vineland Adaptive Behavior Scales.