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. 2023 Jan 31;12:e81354. doi: 10.7554/eLife.81354

Table 4. Mortality-related findings of meta-analyses on the association between time to cancer diagnosis and/or treatment and clinical outcomes, by cancer site/type and lag time interval.

Cancer Lag time interval Findings First author (year)
Site Type Interval Type Comparison Time range Outcome measures* Pooled risk estimate [95% CI](model type, heterogeneity statistics I2 or Ri)
Blood Smoldering multiple myeloma T21 Categorical No distinct cut-off specified No range of lag times specified Mortality HR: 0.90 [0.72–1.12] (fixed-effects) Zhao et al., 2019
Brain Glioblastoma T30 Continuous Per 1-week increase 12 to 53 days Mortality HR: 0.98 [0.90–1.08] (non-adjusted model) Loureiro et al., 2016
Breast -- T30 Continuous Per 1-month increase 31 to 203 days Mortality RR: 0.99 [0.94–1.05] (fixed-effects) Gupta et al., 2016
-- T32 Continuous Per 4-week increase <21 days to >3 months Mortality HR: 1.15 [1.03–1.28] (random-effects, I2 = 75.4%) Yu et al., 2013
Worsened DFS HR: 1.16 [1.01–1.33] (fixed-effects)
-- Continuous Per 4-week increase <21 days to >3 months Mortality RR: 1.04 [1.01–1.08] (fixed-effects) Raphael et al., 2016
RR: 1.08 [1.01–1.15] (random-effects, I2 = 60%)
Worsened DFS RR: 1.05 [1.01–1.08] (fixed-effects)
RR: 1.05 [1.01–1.10] (random-effects, I2 = 94.9%)
-- Continuous Per 4-week increase <21 days to >3 months Mortality HR: 1.13 [1.08–1.19] (random-effects, I2 = 78.9%) Liu et al., 2017
Worsened DFS HR: 1.14 [1.05–1.24] (random-effects, I2 = 60.9%)
Colorectal Rectal T28 Categorical >4 vs. <4 weeks 5 days to 8 weeks Mortality RR: 0.75 [0.53–1.07] (random-effects, I2 = 60%) Wu et al., 2018
Worsened DFS RR: 0.78 [0.84–1.14] (fixed-effects)
Rectal T29 Categorical >6–8 vs.
<6–8 weeks
4 to 14 weeks Mortality RR: 0.85 [0.50–1.43] (random-effects, I2 = 59%) Petrelli et al., 2016
Worsened DFS RR: 0.81 [0.58–1.12] (random-effects, I2 = 61%)
Rectal Categorical ≥8 vs.
<8 weeks
4 to 14 weeks Mortality RR: 0.98 [0.91–1.06] (random-effects, I2 = 42.4%) Du et al., 2018
Worsened DFS RR: 1.04 [0.94–1.14] (random-effects, I2 = 46.7%)
Colorectal (Stage II/III) T32 Categorical >8 vs.
<8 weeks
4 to 8+ weeks Mortality RR: 1.20 [1.15–1.26] (fixed-effects) Des Guetz et al., 2010
Worsened RFS RR: 0.98 [0.89–1.08] (fixed-effects)
Colorectal (Stage II/III) Continuous Per 4-week increase 4 to >36 weeks Mortality HR: 1.14 [1.10–1.17] (fixed-effects) Biagi et al., 2011
DFS HR: 1.14 [1.10–1.18] (fixed-effects)
Gastric Categorical >6–8 vs.
<6–8 weeks
<4 to >12 weeks Mortality HR: 1.20 [1.04–1.38] (fixed effects) Petrelli et al., 2019
HR: 1.41 [0.94–1.28] (random-effects, I2 = 90%)
Colorectal Mortality HR: 1.27 [1.21–1.33] (fixed-effects)
HR: 1.27 [1.25–1.28] (random-effects, I2 = 70%)
Pancreatic Mortality HR: 1.00 [1.00–1.01] (fixed-effects)
Head and neck -- T1 Categorical No distinct cut-off specified 30 to 60 days Mortality RR: 1.54 [1.21–1.94] (fixed-effects) Seoane et al., 2012
RR: 1.67 [0.88–3.19] (random-effects, Ri = 0.85)
T2 Categorical No distinct cut-off specified 72 days Mortality RR: 2.72 [1.45–5.09] (fixed-effects)
RR: 3.17 [1.12–9.00] (random-effects, Ri = 0.61)
T4 Categorical No distinct cut-off specified 108 to 180 days Mortality RR: 1.04 [1.01–1.07] (fixed-effects)
RR: 1.04 [1.01–1.07] (random-effects, Ri = 0.00)
T11 Categorical No distinct cut-off specified 21 to 106 days Mortality RR: 1.34 [1.00–1.78] (fixed-effects)
RR: 1.32 [0.66–2.66] (random-effects, Ri = 0.82)
T1, T2, T4, T11 Categorical No distinct cut-off specified 21 to 180 days Mortality RR: 1.05 [1.02–1.07] (fixed-effects)
RR: 1.34 [1.12–1.61] (random-effects, Ri = 0.95)
Oral T2 Categorical No distinct cut-off specified >1 month Mortality RR: 2.48 [1.39–4.42] (fixed-effects) Seoane et al., 2016
RR: 2.48 [1.39–4.42] (random-effects, Ri = 0.00)
T1, T2, T4, T11 Categorical No distinct cut-off specified >30 to >45 days Mortality RR: 1.02 [0.93–1.12] (fixed-effects)
RR: 1.35 [0.84–2.18] (random-effects, Ri = 0.94)
Esophageal T29 Categorical >7–8 vs.
≤7–8 weeks
≤46 to >64 days Mortality,
2 years
OR: 1.40 [1.09–1.80] (fixed-effects) Lin et al., 2016
Mortality,
5 years
OR: 1.14 [0.84–1.54] (fixed-effects)
Ovarian -- T32 Categorical No distinct cut-off specified <15 days to >12 weeks Mortality HR: 1.18 [1.06–1.32] (random-effects, I2 = 17.6%) Liu et al., 2017
Continuous Per 1-week increase Mortality HR: 1.04 [1.00–1.09] (random-effects, I2 = 9.05%)
-- Categorical No distinct cut-off specified 19 to 42 days Mortality, 3 years OR: 1.06 [0.90–1.24] (random-effects, I2 = 64.3%) Usón et al., 2017

Significant pooled risk estimates are bolded.

-- indicates that cancer type not specified or applicable to the site.

*

Response variables of interest indicate the directionality of the pooled risk estimate (e.g., RR >1 associated with greater risk of mortality among patients with lag time intervals to cancer care endpoint greater than the lag time cut-off considered by the meta-analysis).

Meta-analyses utilized the ‘early’ and ‘deferred’ lag time interval definitions in included studies without standardization of lag time cut-offs.

CI, confidence interval; DFS, disease-free survival; HR, hazard ratio; I2, heterogeneity; OR, odds ratio; RFS, recurrence-free survival; Ri, proportion of total variance due to between-study variance; RR, risk ratio; SMD, standardized mean difference.