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. 2023 Feb 15;2(2):e0000106. doi: 10.1371/journal.pdig.0000106

Table 1. Performance metrics of the combined prediction model for a timeframe of 26 and 104 weeks.

Results using a threshold selected for high sensitivity (>80%), a threshold for high specificity (>90%), and one for a balanced case are presented.

Metric 26 weeks 104 weeks
Threshold Balanced High sensitivity High specificity Balanced High sensitivity High specificity
False Negative Rate 0.26 (0.17, 0.35) 0.14 (0.07, 0.24) 0.43 (0.32, 0.54) 0.29 (0.25, 0.35) 0.14 (0.1, 0.19) 0.46 (0.39, 0.54)
False Positive Rate 0.18 (0.15, 0.22) 0.35 (0.28, 0.44) 0.08 (0.06, 0.1) 0.23 (0.2, 0.25) 0.44 (0.35, 0.52) 0.01 (0.09, 0.10)
Negative Predictive Value 0.95 (0.93, 0.96) 0.97 (0.94, 0.98) 0.93 (0.91, 0.94) 0.95 (0.94, 0.96) 0.97 (0.96, 0.98) 0.94 (0.93, 0.95)
Positive Predictive Value 0.40 (0.33, 0.48) 0.29 (0.23, 0.36) 0.55 (0.46, 0.65) 0.29 (0.25, 0.33) 0.20 (0.17, 0.25) 0.43 (0.36, 0.47)
Sensitivity 0.74 (0.65, 0.83) 0.86 (0.76, 0.93) 0.57 (0.46, 0.68) 0.71 (0.65, 0.76) 0.86 (0.81, 0.90) 0.55 (0.46, 0.61)
Specificity 0.82 (0.78, 0.85) 0.65 (0.56, 0.72) 0.92 (0.9, 0.94) 0.77 (0.75, 0.80) 0.56 (0.48, 0.66) 0.91 (0.90, 0.92)