Table 1.
Projection of total costs (direct costs and indirect costs) of diabetes in China and its provinces (US $billion).
| Province | Baseline |
Projection |
Annual growth rate (%) during 2020–2030 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 2020 | 2025 | 2030 | |||
| Northeast | Heilongjiang | 4.8 (3.8, 0.9) | 5.1 (4.1, 1.1) | 6.9 (5.5, 1.4) | 8.5 (7.0, 1.5) | 5.23 (5.65, 3.51) |
| Jilin | 4.4 (3.3, 1.1) | 4.8 (3.6, 1.2) | 6.6 (4.7, 1.9) | 8.2 (5.9, 2.3) | 5.62 (5.20, 6.74) | |
| Liaoning | 9.7 (7.4, 2.3) | 10.5 (8.0, 2.6) | 14.5 (10.7, 3.7) | 17.9 (13.8, 4.1) | 5.44 (5.71, 4.56) | |
| North | Beijing | 17.8 (15.6, 2.3) | 19.1 (16.6, 2.5) | 26.1 (21.9, 4.3) | 33.5 (27.8, 5.7) | 5.84 (5.39, 8.36) |
| Hebei | 10.6 (8.6, 2) | 11.5 (9.2, 2.3) | 16.0 (12.6, 3.4) | 20.4 (16.5, 3.9) | 5.93 (6.06, 5.43) | |
| Inner Mongolia | 5.8 (4.5, 1.3) | 6.3 (4.9, 1.4) | 9.1 (6.6, 2.5) | 12.3 (8.7, 3.7) | 7.01 (6.00, 9.92) | |
| Shanxi | 6.0 (5.0, 1.0) | 6.5 (5.3, 1.2) | 9.1 (7.2, 1.9) | 11.8 (9.4, 2.5) | 6.22 (5.88, 7.62) | |
| Tianjin | 5.3 (3.9, 1.4) | 5.8 (4.2, 1.6) | 8.1 (5.5, 2.7) | 10.6 (7, 3.6) | 6.25 (5.30, 8.37) | |
| East | Anhui | 6.6 (4.9, 1.7) | 7.2 (5.3, 1.9) | 10.5 (7.3, 3.2) | 13.8 (9.8, 3.9) | 6.80 (6.55, 7.45) |
| Fujian | 5.9 (4.1, 1.8) | 6.4 (4.4, 2.0) | 9.3 (6.0, 3.2) | 11.9 (7.9, 4) | 6.36 (6.05, 7.00) | |
| Jiangsu | 18.4 (12.6, 5.8) | 20 (13.5, 6.5) | 29.6 (18.8, 10.8) | 38.9 (25.1, 13.8) | 6.89 (6.46, 7.70) | |
| Jiangxi | 3.3 (2.8, 0.5) | 3.6 (3.0, 0.6) | 5.2 (4.2, 1.0) | 6.8 (5.6, 1.2) | 6.56 (6.26, 8.01) | |
| Shandong | 14 (9.6, 4.4) | 15.2 (10.3, 4.9) | 21.8 (14.1, 7.7) | 28.1 (18.7, 9.4) | 6.35 (6.23, 6.59) | |
| Shanghai | 10.3 (8.1, 2.2) | 11.1 (8.6, 2.5) | 14.9 (11.2, 3.7) | 18.3 (14.2, 4.1) | 5.15 (5.24, 4.83) | |
| Zhejiang | 10.5 (7.8, 2.8) | 11.4 (8.3, 3.1) | 16.1 (11.2, 4.9) | 20.9 (14.8, 6.1) | 6.24 (6.03, 6.74) | |
| South | Guangdong | 23.5 (18.1, 5.4) | 25.4 (19.4, 6) | 35.2 (25.5, 9.7) | 45.1 (32.6, 12.5) | 5.93 (5.42, 7.38) |
| Guangxi | 4.0 (3.0, 1.0) | 4.3 (3.2, 1.2) | 6.3 (4.4, 1.9) | 8.3 (5.8, 2.5) | 6.69 (6.27, 7.75) | |
| Hainan | 1.3 (1.1, 0.3) | 1.4 (1.1, 0.3) | 2.0 (1.5, 0.5) | 2.6 (2, 0.6) | 6.41 (6.02, 7.80) | |
| Central | Henan | 11.3 (8.8, 2.5) | 12.2 (9.4, 2.8) | 17.4 (12.9, 4.5) | 22.7 (17.1, 5.6) | 6.45 (6.17, 7.33) |
| Hubei | 7.5 (5.9, 1.6) | 8.1 (6.3, 1.8) | 11.7 (8.6, 3) | 15.4 (11.5, 3.9) | 6.59 (6.26, 7.64) | |
| Hunan | 8.1 (6.0, 2.0) | 8.8 (6.5, 2.3) | 12.9 (9.1, 3.8) | 17 (12.1, 4.9) | 6.88 (6.51, 7.84) | |
| Northwest | Gansu | 1.9 (1.5, 0.4) | 2.0 (1.6, 0.4) | 3.0 (2.3, 0.6) | 3.9 (3.2, 0.8) | 6.81 (6.92, 6.40) |
| Ningxia | 1.0 (0.9, 0.1) | 1.1 (0.9, 0.1) | 1.5 (1.3, 0.2) | 2.0 (1.7, 0.3) | 6.71 (6.45, 8.18) | |
| Qinghai | 0.9 (0.7, 0.2) | 0.9 (0.7, 0.2) | 1.4 (1.0, 0.4) | 1.9 (1.3, 0.6) | 7.36 (6.43, 9.80) | |
| Shaanxi | 6.7 (5.5, 1.2) | 7.2 (5.9, 1.3) | 10.6 (8.2, 2.5) | 14.3 (10.8, 3.5) | 7.11 (6.32, 10.01) | |
| Xinjiang | 4.9 (4.2, 0.8) | 5.3 (4.5, 0.8) | 7.3 (6.0, 1.3) | 9.4 (7.8, 1.6) | 5.94 (5.77, 6.78) | |
| Southwest | Chongqing | 5.0 (3.7, 1.4) | 5.5 (3.9, 1.5) | 8.5 (5.7, 2.8) | 11.8 (7.8, 4) | 8.02 (7.15, 9.96) |
| Guizhou | 2.4 (1.7, 0.7) | 2.6 (1.9, 0.8) | 4.1 (2.7, 1.4) | 5.7 (3.6, 2) | 7.96 (6.94, 10.14) | |
| Sichuan | 11.7 (9.4, 2.3) | 12.7 (10.1, 2.6) | 18.4 (13.9, 4.4) | 24.1 (18.2, 5.8) | 6.62 (6.13, 8.31) | |
| Tibet | 0.2 (0.1, 0) | 0.2 (0.1, 0) | 0.2 (0.1, 0.1) | 0.3 (0.2, 0.1) | 5.69 (4.10, 9.04) | |
| Yunnan | 3.6 (2.9, 0.7) | 3.9 (3.1, 0.8) | 5.6 (4.2, 1.3) | 7.3 (5.6, 1.7) | 6.55 (6.28, 7.50) | |
| SARs | Hong Kong | 3.2 (2.1, 1.1) | 3.5 (2.2, 1.3) | 4.9 (3.1, 1.8) | 5.9 (4.0, 2.0) | 5.41 (5.86, 4.57) |
| Macao | 0.4 (0.2, 0.2) | 0.4 (0.2, 0.2) | 0.6 (0.3, 0.3) | 0.7 (0.4, 0.3) | 6.01 (7.46, 4.19) | |
| Total | 231.0 (177.7, 53.3) | 250.2 (190.2, 60) | 355.2 (258.4, 96.8) | 460.4 (337.8, 122.6) | 6.32 (5.98, 7.31) | |
SARs: Special administrative regions.