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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2023 Dec 1.
Published in final edited form as: Clim Serv. 2022 Dec 1;28:1–13. doi: 10.1016/j.cliser.2022.100334

Table 2.

Raw data of Loop Current at North (LC-N) and South (LC-S) positions and their relation to the occurrence of no bloom and large blooms shown for the reanalysis data, reference ensemble SME3210X with simple-average multi-model ensemble (SME), and four ensembles with weighted-average multi-model ensemble (WME). The corresponding performance metrics (x0-x5) and fitness f value (Equation6) for each ensemble.

Model runs Count
 Count LC-N No-Bloom
 Count LC-S No-Bloom
 Temporal Match
 Performance Metrics
 f
LC-N LC-S No-Bloom Large-Bloom No-Bloom Large-Bloom LC-N LC-S Total x0 x1 x2 x3 x4 x5 (RMSE)
Reanalysis 1 32 12 17 15 12 0 32 12 44 0.273 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 1
SME321X 33 34 10 22 12 7 3 25 3 28 0.227 2 0.36 0.75 0.25 3.71 42.1
WME3210 41 34 10 20 14 9 1 29 7 36 0.227 2 0.18 0.42 0.07 3.56 24.5
WME321X 33 34 10 20 14 9 1 29 7 36 0.227 2 0.18 0.42 0.07 3.59 24.7
WME32XX 28 34 10 20 14 9 1 29 7 36 0.227 2 0.18 0.42 0.07 3.69 25.2
WME3XXX 20 34 10 20 14 9 1 28 6 34 0.227 2 0.23 0.50 0.07 3.67 27.6