Table 2:

Calibration intercept and slope

Number of predictor variables	GEMS 0-59mo Intercept (95% CI)	Slope (95% CI)	GEMS-derived model applied to KILIFI data Intercept (95% CI)	Slope (95% CI)
1	3.6 x 10−2 (−3.4 x 10−1, 3.8 x 10−1)	1.0 (0.75, 1.3)
2	3.5 x 10−2 (−3.4 x 10−1, 3.8 x 10−1)	1.0 (0.76, 1.3)	0.82 (0.68, 0.97)	0.61 (0.52, 0.70)
3	2.7 x 10−2 (−3.5 x 10−1, 3.7 x 10−1)	1.0 (0.77, 1.3)
4	2.4 x 10−2 (−3.6 x 10−1, 3.7 x 10−1)	1.0 (0.79, 1.3)
5	2.1 x 10−2 (−3.6 x 10−1, 3.7 x 10−1)	1.0 (0.78, 1.3)
6	1.7 x 10−2 (−3.7 x 10−1, 3.6 x 10−1)	0.99 (0.75, 1.2)
7	2.7 x 10−3 (−3.8 x 10−1, 3.5 x 10−1)	0.95 (0.73, 1.2)
8	1.1 x 10−2 (−3.8 x 10−1, 3.6 x 10−1)	0.95 (0.73, 1.2)
9	1.8 x 10−2 (−3.7 x 10−1, 3.7 x 10−1)	0.94 (0.72, 1.2)
10	2.5 x 10−2 (−3.6 x 10−1, 3.8 x 10−1)	0.93 (0.71, 1.2)