Table 2. Parameters values of the COVID-19 model (1) fitted to United Kingdom cumulative number of cases before lock down.
The data are obtained from Johns Hopkins website (Dong, Du & Gardner, 2020).
| Parameter | Description | Value | References |
|---|---|---|---|
| Infection rate | 0.7566 | Fitted | |
| Asymptomatic infection rate modification parameter | 0.4352 | Assumed | |
| Quarantined infection rate modification parameter | 0.135 | Assumed | |
| Hospitalized infection rate modification parameter | 0.3725 | Fitted | |
| Proportion developing asymptomatic infections | 0.6 | Centers for Disease Prevention and Control (2020b) | |
| Disease progression rate | 0.60 | Centers for Disease Prevention and Control (2020b) | |
| Recovery rates of symptomatic | 0.10 | Agusto et al. (2022) | |
| Recovery rates of asymptomatic | 0.13978 | Agusto et al. (2022) | |
| Recovery rates of quarantined | 0.1 | Agusto et al. (2022) | |
| Recovery rates of hospitalized | 0.0526 | Centers for Disease Prevention and Control (2020b) | |
| Quarantine rate | 0.5679 | Fitted | |
| Hospitalization rate | 0.5180 | Fitted | |
| Quarantine violation rate | 0.4638 | Fitted | |
| Hospital discharge rate | 0.1282 | Fitted | |
| Death rate of symptomatic | 0.0009 | UK Health Security Agency (2022) | |
| Death rate of asymptomatic | 0.00054 | UK Health Security Agency (2022) | |
| Death rate of quarantined | 0.0009 | UK Health Security Agency (2022) | |
| Death rate of hospitalized | 0.0018 | UK Health Security Agency (2022) |