Table 2.

Prediction of 4-year fall risk (2012–2015) in community-dwelling older adults using the National Health and Aging Trends Study baseline measures included in the modified STEADI screening algorithm with risk score derived points (N=3170)

	β	OR	Points	P value	95% CI
Feel unsafe to stand	0.24	1.27	2	0.52	0.61 to 2.63
Fell past year	0.77	2.16	5	<0.001	1.61 to 2.89
Fear of falling	0.57	1.77	4	<0.001	1.45 to 2.16
4-stage balance*	0.08	1.08	1	0.56	0.82 to 1.43
Chair-stand†	0.31	1.36	2	0.03	1.04 to 1.79
≥2 falls past year	1.08	2.94	7	<0.001	1.89 to 4.55
Past broken hip	0.13	1.13	1	0.70	0.59 to 2.20
Age category (years)
65–69	Reference		0
70–74	0.19	1.20	1	0.11	0.96 to 1.51
75–79	0.34	1.40	2	0.005	1.11 to 1.78
80–84	0.57	1.78	4	<0.001	1.39 to 2.27
≥85	0.25	1.28	2	0.09	0.97 to 1.70
Ethnicity
White	0.65	1.92	4	<0.001	1.57 to 2.34
African American	Reference		0
Hispanic	0.20	1.22	1	0.33	0.81 to 1.84
Other	0.56	1.75	4	0.08	0.93 to 3.29
Gender
Male	Reference		0
Female	0.11	1.11	1	0.26	0.92 to 1.35
3-metre walk (seconds)	0.03	1.03		0.25	0.98 to 1.09
≤5.05			0
5.06–6.38			1
≥6.39			2

Complex survey weights were used to allow the data to be nationally representative of the US population.

95% CIs are based on the ORs and not the coefficients.

Three-metre walk is a continuous variable that was used as a constant and separated by categories to assign point values.

Past broken hip was any fracture of the hip since the age of 50 years.

Fear of falling was a self-reported fear by the respondent.

^*Did not pass the overall balance test (hold each pose ≥10 s).

^†Did not complete or pass the chair-stand test.

STEADI, Stopping Elderly Accidents, Deaths and Injuries.