Table 3. Excess mortality for different subcategories of external deaths during the COVID-19 pandemic period, March 2020 to December 2021.

Estimates are based on a seasonal regression model fitted to monthly data (as shown in Figure 3).

Underlying cause of death	No of excess deaths (95% prediction intervals)	Ratio of excess deaths to baseline deaths (95% confidence intervals)*
Accidents (unintentional injuries)	43,600 (17,200–70,000)	0.12 (0.05–0.2)
Motor vehicle accidents†	9,600 (1,000–18,200)	0.13 (0.01–0.24)
Drug overdoses	25,300 (12,000–38,700)	0.16 (0.07–0.24)
Assaults and homicides	8,000 (3,700–12,200)	0.2 (0.09–0.31)
Suicides	3,000 (−7,000–13,100)	0.04 (−0.08–0.16)

^*This should be interpreted as the percent increase over baseline. For instance, mortality from accidents increased by 12% (95% CI, 5–20%) during the period March 2020 to December 2021 (p<0.05), relative to baseline pre-pandemic levels.

^†Motor vehicle accidents are a subcategory of accidents.