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[Preprint]. 2023 Feb 16:2023.02.15.23285971. [Version 1] doi: 10.1101/2023.02.15.23285971

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Figure 6: — Model-derived projections for various scenarios in which the NPI parameter p₁, which indicates the fraction of the population practicing disease-avoiding behaviors in a second NPI phase in the Navajo Nation starting 14-September-2020, was adjusted to identify the threshold required to prevent a second surge in cases. The red solid line corresponds to the MAP estimate for p₁, which is approximately 0.19. The blue broken line indicates the predicted trajectory for daily cases when p₁ is fixed at 0.15. The orange broken line corresponds to a scenario wherein p₁ is fixed at 0.22, the green broken line corresponds to a scenario wherein p₁ is fixed at 0.25, the pink broken line corresponds to a scenario wherein p₁ is fixed at 0.27, and the brown broken line corresponds to a scenario wherein p₁ is fixed at 0.35.