Skip to main content
. 2023 Feb 24;28:94. doi: 10.1186/s40001-023-01047-0

Table 2.

Summary of studies on the reproduction number of the alpha variant

Study Location Study date Method Estimated R0 Other findings
Curran et al. UK August, 2020 to December, 2020 Rapid scoping review approach

Transmissibility: 52% (95% CI 46, 58) higher than the other variants

Growth rate: 71% (95% CI 65–75%) higher than the other variants

Grabowski et al. UK October, 2020 to December, 2020 Based on GISAID data available and Genome Sequence Analysis

Replicative advantage of B.1.1.7 over 20A.EU1: 1.83–2.18 (95% CI 1.71–2.40)

Replicative advantage of B.1.1.7 over other strains: 2.03–2.47 (95% CI1.89–2.77)

Hunter et al. UK October, 2020 to December, 2020 R for preceding days was obtained by summing all reports of new COVID infections for each day and the previous six days. This was then compared with the sum of new cases over the previous 7-day period

Rt value for B.1.1.7: 1.3, 1.3 and 1.1

Rt value for other strains: 0.92, 0.91 and 0.97

In England, London and South East regions

Davies et al. UK March, 2020 to December, 2020 Using a time-varying multinomial spline model

Increased growth rate of + 0.104 day–1 [95% CI 0.100 to 0.108] relative to the previous variant

77% (95% CI 73 to 81%) higher R value

Washington et al. US December 2020 to January 2021 SARS-CoV-2 sequencing and Phylogenetic analyses 35–46% increased transmissibility
Sheikhi et al. Iran April, 2021 to April, 2021 EGR, ML, SB, and SIR models

R0: 2.26–11.38 using statistical models

12.13 by time-dependent SIR model (in the time interval with exponential growth)