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. 2023 Feb 9;20(4):3040. doi: 10.3390/ijerph20043040
Variable Name Dimension Description
d T×1 di is the number of deaths that occurred on the day i.
r T×T rij is number of death recorded for day i at day j. Note that rij for i<j is not defined.
p T×T pij is the probability of that a death for day i not yet recorded is recorded at day j. Note that pij for i<j is not defined.
α K×1 latent prior parameter for p
β K×1 latent prior parameter for p
αH 2×1 parameter for the probability, p for holiday adjustment
βH 2×1 parameter for the probability, p for holiday adjustment
μ T×1 μi is the intensity of the expected number of deaths at day i
σ2 1×1 variation of the random walk prior of the log intensity
ϕ 1×1 overdispersion parameter for the negative binomial distribution
p0 1×1 probability of reporting for a low reporting event
π 1×1 probability of a low reporting event