| Variable Name |
Dimension |
Description |
|
|
is the number of deaths that occurred on the day i. |
|
|
is number of death recorded for day i at day j. Note that for is not defined. |
|
|
is the probability of that a death for day i not yet recorded is recorded at day j.
Note that for is not defined. |
|
|
latent prior parameter for
|
|
|
latent prior parameter for
|
|
|
parameter for the probability, for holiday adjustment |
|
|
parameter for the probability, for holiday adjustment |
|
|
is the intensity of the expected number of deaths at day i
|
|
|
variation of the random walk prior of the log intensity |
|
|
overdispersion parameter for the negative binomial distribution |
|
|
probability of reporting for a low reporting event |
|
|
probability of a low reporting event |