Table 3.

ARE% calculated for BK 1 model with respect to $\sigma$ using the MCMC method. The test is carried out individually for each parameter and initials. In total, 200 samples are used. The results indicate that 3 ($\mu ,Q_m,ϵ$) out of 13 components are sufficiently sensitive to continue with the procedure. Note that $\delta$ and $\sigma$ appear to be insensitive, so we exclude them.

${\mathit{\sigma }}_0$	0%	5%	15%	25%
$\mu$	0.00	4.48	13.49	22.68
q	5.78 $\times {10}^{-5}$	86.18	94.87	97.21
R	0.51	68.42	68.05	67.87
$\delta$	5.02	5.02	5.02	5.02
d	11.70	66.07	65.74	65.91
${\gamma }_1$	2.39 $\times {10}^{-4}$	10.89	32.76	51.04
${\gamma }_2$	0.00	21.73	57.28	73.29
$Q_m$	2.28 $\times {10}^{-5}$	2.27	6.81	11.35
b	5.51	32.40	46.65	50.32
$\sigma$	1.05	14.94	14.96	15.97
$ϵ$	1.82 $\times {10}^{-4}$	2.34	7.33	13.24
$x\left(0\right)$	0.57	59.84	60.14	59.75
$v\left(0\right)$	0.46	78.75	78.57	78.29