Table 9.
Pathways | Risk factors/periods/areas | Probability of transmission (P) | Potential preventive and control measures in animals | Potential preventive and control measures in humans | Possible monitoring approach |
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Human > hamster In the next 12 months, what proportion of hamsters in pet shops in the EU will be infected with SARS‐CoV‐2 due to contact with infected people? |
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Reasoning:
Quality of evidence: low to moderate, there is only one publication describing natural infection of hamsters (Yen et al.). Hamsters however are used frequently as animal models for SARS‐CoV‐2 and high susceptibility to infection has been demonstrated by numerous publications. |
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Hamster > hamster In the next 12 months, out of SARS‐CoV‐2 infected hamsters in the EU, what is the proportion that will transmit the infection to at least one other hamster? |
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Reasoning:
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Hamster > human In the next 12 months, out of SARS‐CoV‐2 infected hamsters in the EU, what is the proportion that will transmit the infection to one or more humans? |
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Low (10–33%) Reasoning: Hamsters shed high levels of virus. Quality of evidence: low to moderate, because there is only one publication describing the transmission of SARS‐CoV‐2 from hamsters to humans (Yen et al.). Considering that hamsters shed high levels of virus, which can be detected in the air, and that virus transmits rapidly among hamsters, high amounts of infectious virus can be reached in situations where several hamsters are kept. |
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