Table 2.
The best-fitting ARIMA (SARIMAX) models.
| Model | |
|---|---|
| Egypt | ARIMA (1,1,1)a SARIMA (1,1,1,12)b |
| Ghana | ARIMA (1,1,0) |
| Kenya | ARIMA (1,1,1) SARIMA (1,1,0,12) |
| Mauritius | ARIMA (1,1,1) SARIMA (1,1,1,12) |
| Morocco | ARIMA (1,1,1) SARIMA (1,1,1,12) |
| Nigeria | ARIMA (1,1,1) |
| Rwanda | ARIMA (1,1,1) |
| Tanzania | ARIMA (1,1,1) SARIMA (1,1,0,12) |
| South Africa | ARIMA (1,1,1) |
ARIMA (1,1,1) indicates p(1), d (1) and q(1), respectively.
SARIMA (1,1,1,12) shows P(1), D(1), Q(1), m(12), respectively.