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. 2023 Feb 24;108:102380. doi: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2023.102380
MSE
Difference S(1) P_value Remark
Model II Model III
Morocco 0.3618 0.6122 −0.2504 −5.64 0.000 Model_II is the better forecast
Egypt 0.2906 0.5531 −0.2625 −4.09 0.003 Model_II is the better forecast
Ghana 0.1907 0.3724 −0.1817 −3.74 0.000 Model_II is the better forecast
Kenya 0.2835 0.4792 −0.1957 −2.47 0.000 Model_II is the better forecast
Mauritius 0.2778 0.5902 −0.3124 −4.16 0.003 Model_II is the better forecast
Nigeria 0.3836 0.6172 −0.2336 −3.91 0.002 Model_II is the better forecast
Rwanda 0.3357 0.5906 −0.2549 −3.04 0.001 Model_II is the better forecast
S.Africa 0.2855 0.5146 −0.2291 −3.01 0.000 Model_II is the better forecast
Tanzania 0.3001 0.5022 −0.2021 −2.27 0.000 Model_II is the better forecast

H0: Forecast accuracy is equal.