Figure - PMC

Skip to main content

An official website of the United States government

Here's how you know

Here's how you know

Official websites use .gov
A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States.

Secure .gov websites use HTTPS
A lock ( ) or https:// means you've safely connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites.

View full-text article in PMC

. 2023 Feb 13;11:1073581. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2023.1073581

Search in PMC
Search in PubMed
View in NLM Catalog
Add to search

Copyright © 2023 Janko, Reščič, Vodopija, Susič, De Masi, Tušar, Gradišek, Vandepitte, De Smedt, Javornik, Gams and Luštrek.

This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

PMC Copyright notice

(A) Daily infections for Italy over 20 months (purple) together with the predictions using best fitted SEIRD model (green). Fitting was conducted by first splitting the data into segments, represented by dashed vertical lines, where at least two NPIs were changed with respect to the previous segment. Different segments use different fitted parameters. (B) Daily infection predictions for Norway, made both by using only fitted parameters (green) and by using parameters adapted by machine learning, which reflect the change to more strict NPIs (yellow).