Table 2.
Main Test Set (n = 716)† |
IVF Test Set (n=47)‡ |
|||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Estimate | Model | Biometry | Difference (95% CI) | Model | Biometry | Difference (95% CI) |
MAE (±SE) — d | 3.9±0.12 | 4.7±0.15 | −0.8 (−1.1 to −0.5) | 2.8±0.28 | 3.6±0.53 | −0.8 (−1.7 to 0.2) |
| ||||||
RMSE (±SE) — d | 5.1±0.18 | 6.1±0.19 | −1.1 (−1.5 to −0.6) | 3.4±0.31 | 5.1±0.67 | −1.7 (−2.8 to −0.5) |
| ||||||
Estimate of bias (±SE) — d§ | −0.7±0.19 | 1.3±0.22 | 1.3±0.46 | 1.7±0.70 | ||
| ||||||
First trimester — d¶ | ||||||
| ||||||
MAE (±SE) | 2.1±0.19 | 2.0±0.23 | 0.2 (−0.4 to 0.7) | 2.3±0.34 | 2.2±0.38 | |
| ||||||
Estimate of bias (±SE) | 0.8±0.32 | 1.4±0.29 | 0.8±0.67 | 0.9±0.66 | ||
| ||||||
Second trimester — d | ||||||
| ||||||
MAE (±SE) | 3.1±0.16 | 3.3±0.17 | −0.2 (−0.5 to 0.1) | 2.7±0.45 | 3.4±0.84 | |
| ||||||
Estimate of bias (±SE) | 0.2±0.25 | 0.7±0.26 | 1.3±0.69 | 2.0±1.04 | ||
| ||||||
Third trimester — d | ||||||
| ||||||
MAE (±SE) | 4.7±0.18 | 6.0±0.22 | −1.3 (−1.8 to −0.8) | 3.7±0.69 | 5.7±1.38 | |
| ||||||
Estimate of bias (±SE) | −1.4±0.29 | 1.6±0.36 | 1.8±1.23 | 2.4±2.13 | ||
| ||||||
Absolute error (±SE) — % | ||||||
| ||||||
<7 d | 86.0±1.3 | 77.0±1.6 | 9.1 (5.7 to 12.5) | 95.7±2.9 | 83.0±5.5 | |
| ||||||
<14 d | 98.9±0.4 | 96.9±0.6 | 2.0 (0.5 to 3.4) | 100.0 | 100.0 | |
| ||||||
North Carolina — d | ||||||
| ||||||
MAE (±SE) | 3.4±0.15 | 4.0±0.20 | −0.6 (−0.9 to −0.2) | |||
| ||||||
Estimate of bias (±SE) | −0.3±0.23 | 0.7±0.28 | ||||
| ||||||
Zambia — d | ||||||
| ||||||
MAE (±SE) | 4.4±0.19 | 5.4±0.22 | −1.0 (−1.5 to −0.5) | |||
| ||||||
Estimate of bias (±SE) | −1.0±0.30 | 1.9±0.35 |
CI denotes confidence interval, MAE mean absolute error, and RMSE root mean square error
The main test set comprises a 30% random sample of participants who are dated by a prior ultrasound and who are not included in the IVF or novice test sets. Participants were enrolled in either North Carolina or Zambia. Blind sweeps and fetal biometry were collected by a sonographer on a commercial ultrasound machine
The IVF test set comprises studies conducted in women who conceived by in vitro fertilization. All participants were enrolled in North Carolina. Blind sweeps and fetal biometry were collected by a sonographer on a commercial ultrasound machine.
Estimate of bias is reported as the estimated mean of the error.
Trimesters are defined as 97 days or less, 98 to 195 days, or 196 days or more.