Table 2. Model comparison.
Models are ordered by their expected log pointwise predictive density (ELPD). ELPDdiff: difference to the ELPD of winning model 4. se(ELPDdiff): standard error of the difference in ELPD.
| Model | ELPD | ELPDdiff | se(ELPDdiff) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model 4 | –837.71 | 0 | 0 |
| Model 3 | –845.44 | –7.73 | 1.51 |
| Model 2 | –997.33 | –159.62 | 15.77 |
| Model 1 | –998.33 | –160.62 | 15.95 |