Table 1.

Estimated reductions in incidence of stomach cancer in Vietnam between 2019 to 2030 and over the lifetime

Scenarios	Men				Women				Both
	Absolute n	95 % UI	Relative Est. %	95 % UI	Absolute n	95 % UI	Relative Est. %	95 % UI	Absolute n	95 % UI	Relative Est. %	95 % UI
National 8 g/d salt target achieved by 2025 (NT 1a)	2792	944, 5383	6·0	2·0, 11·5	580	96, 1431	2·7	0·4, 6·6	3372	1431, 6006	4·9	2·1, 8·8
National 7 g/d salt target achieved by 2030 (NT 2a)	5917	2620, 10 640	6·8	3·0, 12·2	1272	282, 2802	3·2	0·7, 6·9	7189	3471, 11 905	5·6	2·7, 9·3
WHO 5 g/d salt target achieved by 2030 (WT a)	6749	3770, 12 010	7·7	4·3, 13·7	1644	572, 3037	4·1	1·4, 7·5	8394	5211, 13 922	6·6	4·1, 10·9
Lifetime – with decay effects
National 8 g/d salt target achieved by 2025 and effect gradually phased out to zero impact beyond 2050 (NT 1b)	17 040	7147, 30 641	3·7	1·5, 6·6	3548	645, 8135	1·4	0·2, 3·1	20 588	10 142, 33 894	2·8	1·4, 4·7
National 7 g/d salt target achieved by 2030 and effect gradually phased out to zero impact beyond 2055 (NT 2b)	24 295	10 892, 40 809	5·2	2·3, 8·8	4972	990, 11 136	1·9	0·4, 4·3	29 266	15 417, 47 086	4·0	2·1, 6·5
WHO 5 g/d salt target achieved by 2030 and effect gradually phased out to zero impact beyond 2055 (WT b)	28 692	15 713, 44 695	6·2	3·4, 9·6	6038	1224, 12 659	2·3	0·5, 4·9	34 877	20 640, 52 869	4·8	2·9, 7·3
Lifetime – full impacts
National 8 g/d salt target achieved and effect sustained over lifetime (NT 1c)	37 109	17 029, 60 480	8·0	3·7, 13·0	6694	955, 15 334	2·6	0·4, 5·9	43 803	23 048, 68 205	6·0	3·2, 9·4
National 7 g/d salt target achieved and effect sustained over lifetime (NT 2c)	43 517	21 345, 69 357	9·3	4·6, 14·9	9264	2303, 19 244	3·6	0·9, 7·4	52 781	29 948, 79 102	7·3	4·1, 10·9
WHO 5 g/d salt target achieved and effect sustained over lifetime (WT c)	50 383	30 806, 72 920	10·8	6·6, 15·7	12 843	6285, 22 330	5·0	2·4, 8·6	63 226	41 714, 86 887	8·7	5·8, 12·0

UI, Uncertainty interval.