Table 3. Results of hierarchical linear models.
Model 1 | Model 2 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Covariate | Estimate | SE | P-value | Estimate | SE | P-value |
Month of MDA | ||||||
Jan | 0.0407 | 0.0125 | 0.001* | 0.0384 | 0.0125 | 0.002* |
Feb | 0.0372 | 0.0136 | 0.006* | 0.0364 | 0.0137 | 0.008* |
Mar | -0.0261 | 0.0112 | 0.020* | -0.0279 | 0.0112 | 0.013* |
Apr | -0.0087 | 0.0094 | 0.352 | -0.0100 | 0.0094 | 0.287 |
Jun | -0.0068 | 0.0068 | 0.319 | -0.0079 | 0.0068 | 0.244 |
Jul | -0.0221 | 0.0069 | 0.001* | -0.0226 | 0.0069 | 0.001* |
Aug | 0.0057 | 0.0104 | 0.584 | 0.0039 | 0.0104 | 0.708 |
Sep | 0.0331 | 0.0127 | 0.009* | 0.0303 | 0.0127 | 0.017* |
Oct | 0.0081 | 0.0145 | 0.577 | 0.0075 | 0.0145 | 0.608 |
Nov | 0.0160 | 0.0144 | 0.267 | 0.0156 | 0.0145 | 0.280 |
Dec | -0.0257 | 0.0109 | 0.018* | -0.0266 | 0.0109 | 0.015* |
Increased rainfall | -0.0027 | 0.0012 | 0.027* | -0.0028 | 0.0012 | 0.024* |
Increased temperature | 0.0080 | 0.0020 | <0.001* | 0.0075 | 0.0020 | <0.001* |
Round of MDA | ||||||
2 | 0.0349 | 0.0071 | <0.001* | 0.0347 | 0.0071 | <0.001* |
3 | 0.0594 | 0.0084 | <0.001* | 0.0595 | 0.0084 | <0.001* |
4 | 0.0519 | 0.0086 | <0.001* | 0.0524 | 0.0086 | <0.001* |
5 | 0.0824 | 0.0090 | <0.001* | 0.0821 | 0.0090 | <0.001* |
6 | 0.0826 | 0.0090 | <0.001* | 0.0831 | 0.0090 | <0.001* |
7 | 0.0999 | 0.0094 | <0.001* | 0.1007 | 0.0094 | <0.001* |
8 | 0.0871 | 0.0146 | <0.001* | 0.0891 | 0.0146 | <0.001* |
9 | 0.0788 | 0.0181 | <0.001* | 0.0827 | 0.0181 | <0.001* |
10 | 0.0927 | 0.0194 | <0.001* | 0.0938 | 0.0193 | <0.001* |
11 | 0.1017 | 0.0247 | <0.001* | 0.1036 | 0.0247 | <0.001* |
12 | 0.0969 | 0.0316 | 0.002* | 0.0972 | 0.0316 | 0.002* |
MDA conducted after hiatus | 0.0004 | 0.0081 | 0.961 | 0.0025 | 0.0081 | 0.754 |
MDA conducted same month as previous MDA | 0.0163 | 0.0060 | 0.007* | 0.0162 | 0.0060 | 0.007* |
Focal MDA | -0.0841 | 0.0084 | <0.001* | -0.0842 | 0.0084 | <0.001* |
Ramadan | 0.0099 | 0.0077 | 0.196 | 0.0108 | 0.0077 | 0.159 |
COVID-19 | -0.0466 | 0.0162 | 0.004* | -0.0460 | 0.0163 | 0.005* |
Ebola | -0.0733 | 0.0255 | 0.004* | -0.0741 | 0.0255 | 0.004* |
Violence/Social unrest | ||||||
Violence/Social unrest (any type) | -0.0319 | 0.0085 | <0.001* | |||
Battles | -0.0018 | 0.0151 | 0.908 | |||
Explosions/Remote violence | -0.1055 | 0.0270 | <0.001* | |||
Protests | -0.0219 | 0.0151 | 0.147 | |||
Riots | -0.0254 | 0.0137 | 0.064 | |||
Violence against civilians | -0.0171 | 0.0165 | 0.301 | |||
Looting/Property destruction | 0.0530 | 0.0543 | 0.329 | |||
Isolation | -0.0003 | 0.0002 | 0.077 | |||
Population density (population/km2) | ||||||
Group 2: 25–53 | 0.0213 | 0.0085 | 0.012* | |||
Group 3: 53–96 | 0.0159 | 0.0090 | 0.076 | |||
Group 4: 96–201 | 0.0176 | 0.0092 | 0.057 | |||
Group 5: 201–19283 | 0.0061 | 0.0097 | 0.528 | |||
Constant | 0.6486 | 0.0192 | <0.001* | 0.6653 | 0.0191 | <0.001* |
* Indicates significance at the 5% level