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. 2023 Mar 9;41(15):2596–2604. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2023.03.006

Table 2.

Estimated effectiveness ≥ 14 days after 2nd mRNA COVID-19 vaccination against new detection of SARS-CoV-2 anti-nucleocapsid antibody, March–October 2021.

Characteristic Case-participantsa Control-participantsa VE (95% CI)
Unadjustedb
Case-participantsa Control-participantsa VE (95% CI)
Adjustedb
By vaccine product
Any mRNA 154 1540 91.0 (85.0–94.6) 154 1512 88.8 (79.6–93.9)
Pfizer-BioNTech 131 1000 89.0 (81.0–93.6) 131 982 87.8 (75.9–93.8)
Moderna 63 605 95.9 (89.4–98.4) 63 595 91.7 (75.7–97.2)
By calendar periodc
Pre-Delta 52 552 93.0 (84.9–96.8) 52 541 93.2 (80.9–97.5)
Delta 102 988 92.5 (83.7–96.5) 102 971 89.0 (72.0–95.6)
By time since dose 2
<3 months 75 686 92.5 (85.1–96.2) 75 675 93.5 (83.8–97.4)
≥3 months 119 919 88.0 (75.5–94.2) 119 902 81.6 (56.6–92.2)
By age group (years)
18–49 74 483 93.6 (83.1–97.6) 74 471 95.2 (83.9–98.6)
≥50 80 1057 81.0 (55.7–91.8) 80 1041 75.9 (36.3–90.9)
By underlying health conditiond
0 39 358 92.6 (65.3–98.4) 39 352 93.9 (45.1–99.3)
1 40 412 84.4 (49.2–95.2) 40 403 89.7 (36.3–98.3)
>1 75 767 85.0 (63.8–93.8) 75 757 85.9 (52.2–95.9)

a. Case-participants had new serologic evidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection, defined as a positive anti-nucleocapsid antibody following a negative serology test result; control-participant had serologic evidence of no infection, indicated by a negative anti-spike antibody, or negative anti-nucleocapsid antibody.

b. Vaccine effectiveness (VE) was estimated as 100- (100 × odds ratio) with the unvaccinated group as the referent. Conditional logistic regression models accounted for matching by calendar time and adjusted for region of enrollment site, age, healthcare worker occupation, population density of county of residence, and recent close contact with COVID-19.

c. Pre-Delta period defined as March 1, 2021–June 30, 2021; Delta period defined as July 1, 2021–October 31, 2021.

d. Defined using self-report and electronic health record information as autoimmune disease, cardiovascular disease, diabetes, immunocompromised state, liver disease, obesity, pulmonary disease, renal disease, substance abuse, mental health conditions, neurologic disease, sickle cell disease.