Table 1.
Total observed and predicted incidence rate per 100 000 population in 2020 and 2021 a
| Condition | 2020 and 2021 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Observed | Predicted (95% CI) | Change (95% CI) | Percentage change (95% CI) | |
| COPD | 549 | 892 (779 to 1005) | −343 (−456 to −230) | −38.4 (−45.4 to −29.5) |
| Depression | 1800 | 2512 (2194 to 2830) | −712 (−1031 to −394) | −28.3 (−36.4 to −17.9) |
| Type 2 diabetes | 837 | 1136 (871 to 1401) | −300 (−565 to −34) | −26.4 (−40.3 to −3.9) |
| Hypertension | 1663 | 2231 (1979 to 2483) | −568 (−820 to −316) | −25.5 (−33 to −16.0) |
| Anxiety disorders | 2503 | 3333 (2784 to 3882) | −830 (−1379 to −281) | −24.9 (−35.5 to −10.1) |
| Asthma | 756 | 1006 (898 to 1114) | −250 (−358 to −142) | −24.9 (−32.2 to −15.9) |
| Diabetes mellitus | 999 | 1314 (952 to 1676) | −315 (−677 to 47) | −24 (−40.4 to 4.9) |
| Rheumatoid arthritis | 148 | 192 (142 to 243) | −45 (−95 to 6) | −23.1 (−39.0 to 4.0) |
| PVD | 341 | 430 (375 to 485) | −90 (−145 to −35) | −20.8 (−29.8 to −9.2) |
| Inflammatory bowel disease | 147 | 183 (152 to 214) | −36 (−67 to −5) | −19.8 (−31.4 to −3.4) |
| Undetermined type diabetes | 123 | 147 (116 to 178) | −24 (−55 to 7) | −16.3 (−31.0 to 6.1) |
| CHD | 671 | 774 (680 to 869) | −103 (−198 to −9) | −13.3 (−22.8 to −1.3) |
| Heart failure | 756 | 871 (753 to 990) | −116 (−234 to 3) | −13.3 (−23.6 to 0.4) |
| CKD | 1462 | 1678 (1496 to 1861) | −217 (−399 to −34) | −12.9 (−21.5 to −2.3) |
| Epilepsy | 159 | 182 (143 to 220) | −23 (−61 to 16) | −12.4 (−27.9 to 11.4) |
| Atrial fibrillation | 1158 | 1304 (1145 to 1463) | −146 (−305 to 13) | −11.2 (−20.8 to 1.1) |
| Stroke and TIA | 592 | 647 (554 to 740) | −55 (−148 to 38) | −8.5 (−20.0 to 6.9) |
| Dementia | 1050 | 1135 (991 to 1279) | −85 (−229 to 59) | −7.5 (−17.9 to 6.0) |
| Type 1 diabetes | 41 | 38 (22 to 53) | 3 (−12 to 19) | 8.6 (−22.8 to 83.3) |
a
Conditions are ordered from largest to smallest relative (%) change between observed and predicted rates. CHD = coronary heart disease. CI = confidence interval. CKD = chronic kidney disease. COPD = chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. PVD = peripheral vascular disease. TIA = transient ischaemic attack.