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. 2023 Mar 11;401(10379):833–842. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(22)02465-5

Figure 4.

Figure 4

Comparison of protection efficacy from past COVID-19 infection versus protection from vaccination (by vaccine type and dose) against re-infection, symptomatic disease, and severe disease for ancestral, alpha, delta, or omicron BA.1 variants

Shading indicates 95% UIs. (A) Comparison between waning of immunity with time of protection conferred by SARS-CoV-2 infection against re-infection with ancestral, alpha, or delta variant versus vaccine protection against primary infection with alpha and delta by type of vaccine and dose. (B) Comparison between waning of immunity with time of protection conferred by SARS-CoV-2 infection against re-infection with omicron variant versus vaccine protection against primary infection with omicron by type of vaccine and dose. (C) Comparison between waning of immunity with time of protection conferred by SARS-CoV-2 infection against symptomatic disease with ancestral, alpha, or delta variant versus vaccine protection against primary infection with alpha and delta by type of vaccine and dose. (D) Comparison between waning of immunity with time of the protection conferred by SARS-CoV-2 infection against symptomatic disease with omicron variant versus vaccine protection against primary infection with omicron by type of vaccine and dose. (E) Comparison between waning of immunity with time of the protection conferred by SARS-CoV-2 infection against severe disease with ancestral, alpha, or delta variant versus vaccine protection against primary infection with alpha and delta by type of vaccine and dose. (F) Comparison between waning of immunity with time of protection conferred by SARS-CoV-2 infection against severe disease with omicron variant versus vaccine protection against primary infection with omicron by type of vaccine and dose. UIs=uncertainty intervals.