Table 1.
Author | Title | Data source used | Primary outcome | Best model performance | Study conclusion |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oztekin (16) | Predicting the graft survival for heart-lung transplantation patients: An integrated data mining methodology | Unified Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS), 1987–2008 | Combined heart-lung transplantation survival, and methods of UNOS database mining | The neural network achieved the highest accuracy of 0.859. | Model uncovered relationships among the survival-related variables. Domain-expert input improved performance. |
Delen (7) | A machine learning-based approach to prognostic analysis of thoracic transplantations | United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS), 1987–2009 | Survival time | The support vector machine model with a radial basis Kernel function produced the best fit with anR2value of 0.879 and MSE of 0.023. | Integrated machine learning is more effective in developing the Cox survival models than the traditional methods. |
Nilsson (10) | The international heart transplant survival algorithm (IHTSA): A new model to improve organ sharing and survival | International Society for Heart and Lung Transplantation (ISHLT) registry, 1994–2010 | 1-year mortality | Artificial neural network model had anAUC of 0.650, 95% CI: 0.640–0.655. | The model predicts mortality and also estimates the expected benefit to the individual patient, and donor-recipient compatibility. |
Medved (17) | Improving prediction of heart transplantation outcome using deep learning techniques | United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS), 1997–2011 | 1-year mortality | International Heart Transplantation Survival Algorithm (IHTSA), based on deep learning, had AUC of 0.654, 95% CI: 0.629–0.679. | The IHTSA model was superior to Donor Risk Index (DRI), Risk Stratification Score (RSS), and Index for Mortality Prediction After Cardiac Transplantation (IMPACT). |
Miller (5) | Predictive abilities of machine learning techniques may be limited by dataset characteristics: insights from the UNOS database | Unified Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS), 1987–2014 | 1-year mortality | The neural network model had the highest AUC of 0.66. | The prognostic abilities of machine learning techniques may be limited by quality of the clinical dataset. |
Agasthi (11) | Machine learning helps predict long-term mortality and graft failure in patients undergoing heart transplant | International Society of Heart and Lung Transplant (ISHLT) registry data, 2000–2017 | All-cause mortality and graft failure at 5 years after HTx | A gradient-boosted machine model had an AUC of 0.717, 95% CI: 0.696–0.737 for 5-year mortality and 0.716, 95% CI: 0.696–0.736 for graft failure. | This model would likely function as a predictive algorithm to estimate the risk of 5-year mortality and graft failure in each donor–recipient match. |
Hsich (15) | Heart transplantation: An in-depth survival analysis | Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (SRTR), 2004–2018 | Factors that determined survival | AI was used to identify variables that are associated with mortality, classified into early, late, and constant phases. | Transplantation from ECMO should consider end-organ function to reduce early post-transplantation mortality. |
Ayers (18) | Using machine learning to improve survival prediction after heart transplantation | United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS), 2000–2019 | 1-year survival | The final ensemble model had an AUC of 0.764, 95% CI: 0.745–0.782 | Modern ML techniques can improve risk prediction in OHT compared to traditional approaches. |
Zhou (13) | Prediction of 1-year mortality after heart transplantation using machine learning approaches: A single-center study from China | Local dataset from Wuhan union hospital, 2015–2018 | 1-year mortality | Random Forest model achieved the best AUC of 0.801 and gradient boosting machine showed the best sensitivity of 0.271 | The model identifies high-risk HTx recipients, informs a personalized therapeutic plan, and reduces organ wastage |
Kainuma (19) | Predictors of 1-year outcome after cardiac re-transplantation: Machine learning analysis | United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS), 2000–2009 | 1-year survival predictors post heart re-transplantation | Random survival forests-ranked variable importance to evaluate the association with mortality | Short-term survival was related to liver function, and long-term survival was related to obesity and mechanical ventilation. |
Mete (14) | Predicting post-heart transplant composite renal outcome risk in adults: A machine learning decision tool | Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network (OPTN), 2000–2019 | Dependence on chronic dialysis, GFR < 20 ml/min per 1.73 m2, or having received a kidney transplant | The Random Forest model had AUC of 0.70, 95% CI 0.67–0.74 for the composite primary outcome. | The Model was used to create a validated web-based decision tool for assessing renal outcomes post HTx. |
Miller (20) | Temporal shift and predictive performance of machine learning for heart transplant outcomes | United Network of Organ Sharing (UNOS), 1994–2016 | 1-year all-cause mortality | Random Forest model had an AUC of 0.893, CI: 0.889–0.897. | While AI models can predict transplant mortality, they are limited by temporal shifts in patient and donor selection. |
Wang (12) | Comparison of four machine learning techniques for prediction of intensive care unit length of stay in heart transplantation patients | Local data from Wuhan Union Hospital, 2017–2020 | Length of ICU stay post heart transplantation | The eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) algorithm presented significantly better predictive performance (AUC 0.88). | Using the XGBoost classifier with HTx patients can facilitate precision medicine and best allocation of medical resources. |
strong recommendation, weak recommendation/promising but not ready to implement, and recommended against AI usage, as suggested by the respective paper.