Fig. 1A,,,, labelname,model,c,lower,upper Smoking,individual_CRF,0.527,0.502,0.551 Prevalent diabetes,individual_CRF,0.527,0.512,0.541 Exercise,individual_CRF,0.555,0.535,0.575 HDL,individual_CRF,0.575,0.543,0.607 Family history,individual_CRF,0.579,0.553,0.606 BMI,individual_CRF,0.591,0.561,0.620 Total cholesterol,individual_CRF,0.607,0.577,0.637 PRS,PRS,0.626,0.595,0.656 Systolic BP,individual_CRF,0.649,0.619,0.679 Baseline age,individual_CRF,0.719,0.695,0.743 Conventional risk factors,all_crf,0.771,0.748,0.793 PRS + Conventional risk factors,PRS_and_all_crf,0.794,0.771,0.817 ,,,, ,,,, Fig. 1B,,,, labelname,model,c,lower,upper Smoking,individual_CRF,0.514,0.496,0.532 Exercise,individual_CRF,0.556,0.542,0.571 Total cholesterol,individual_CRF,0.558,0.534,0.582 Family history,individual_CRF,0.591,0.571,0.612 PRS,PRS,0.612,0.589,0.636 Systolic BP,individual_CRF,0.620,0.597,0.643 Baseline age,individual_CRF,0.625,0.605,0.646 HDL,individual_CRF,0.634,0.612,0.657 Triglyceride,individual_CRF,0.698,0.677,0.718 BMI,individual_CRF,0.745,0.726,0.764 Conventional risk factors,all_crf,0.785,0.768,0.802 PRS + Conventional risk factors,PRS_and_all_crf,0.795,0.778,0.812 ,,,, ,,,, Fig. 1C,,,, labelname,model,c,lower,upper Prevalent psychiatric disorders,individual_CRF,0.510,0.498,0.522 Prevalent stroke,individual_CRF,0.515,0.503,0.528 HDL,individual_CRF,0.518,0.482,0.554 Diastolic BP,individual_CRF,0.520,0.485,0.554 Prevalent T2D,individual_CRF,0.523,0.508,0.538 Smoking,individual_CRF,0.540,0.518,0.561 Exercise,individual_CRF,0.543,0.521,0.565 Total cholesterol,individual_CRF,0.577,0.543,0.611 BMI,individual_CRF,0.610,0.578,0.642 Alcohol consumption,individual_CRF,0.617,0.584,0.651 PRS,PRS,0.650,0.616,0.684 Systolic BP,individual_CRF,0.656,0.623,0.688 Baseline age,individual_CRF,0.880,0.864,0.895 Conventional risk factors,all_crf,0.883,0.868,0.899 PRS + Conventional risk factors,PRS_and_all_crf,0.900,0.885,0.915 ,,,, ,,,, Fig. 1D,,,, labelname,model,c,lower,upper Alcohol consumption,individual_CRF,0.512,0.467,0.557 Exercise,individual_CRF,0.518,0.483,0.553 BMI,individual_CRF,0.544,0.502,0.587 Family history,individual_CRF,0.554,0.513,0.595 Smoking,individual_CRF,0.565,0.534,0.596 PRS,PRS,0.641,0.593,0.690 Baseline age,individual_CRF,0.769,0.739,0.798 Conventional risk factors,all_crf,0.773,0.744,0.802 PRS + Conventional risk factors,PRS_and_all_crf,0.800,0.770,0.831