Response to comments made by assessors
Clinical assessor
72 reports were retrieved (56 excluded 16 included). 11 studies compared exercise to no treatment. These errors have been corrected.
Yes we are and this is now made clear in the report.
See point 1 above
The statistic output for the model with both variables included gives Tau2 = 0.000 This is rounded to three decimal places i.e. it will not be exactly zero but very close. We have changed the wording in the report to make this clearer.
Baseline depression severity for the whole sample was included in the meta-regression model. For 8 of the 10 studies this was available as a mean Beck Depression Inventory (BDI) score for the whole sample in the reports. For the remaining two the mean values of the other studies was imputed. In fact baseline depression did not account for any of the variance suggesting that despite the different cut offs used depression levels in each study were probably similar. The main point is that the BDI was not developed as a tool to diagnose depression and the use of different cut offs illustrates this. Using non clinical subjects in these studies may limit their generalisation to clinical populations. A sentence has been added to the discussion to clarify this.
Figure 2 we feel really nicely illustrates the meta-regression results. We also feel that it is appropriate to pool the studies and do the meta-regression model, we would agree with the referee that this is one of the particular strengths of this study. We have not pooled all studies in this model just those comparing exercise to no treatment. The outlying of the two abstracts can be clearly seen and the tendency for effects to move across the page from left to right illustrates the effect of length of follow-up. Traditionally in meta-analysis the approach has been to pool data that is heterogeneous using random effects models without any further investigation into what lies underneath the heterogeneity and what this suggests about the true size of the effect. Meta-regression analysis as illustrated here shows the value of looking more closely at heterogeneity. Though table 2 gives pooled summaries for different publication types and lengths of follow-up we feel the full model as illustrated by figure 2 very powerfully demonstrates the value of this approach.