This PDF file includes:

• Quantitative track error analysis
• Analysis of Hurricane Florence observed and forecasted rainfall
• Analysis of Hurricane Florence forecasted intensity
• Analysis of Hurricane Florence forecasted size
• Table S1. Comparison of track error.
• Fig. S1. CAM5 computational grid.
• Fig. S2. Actual ensemble rainfall.
• Fig. S3. Counterfactual ensemble rainfall.
• Fig. S4. Evolution of storm intensity and size.
• Reference (46)

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