******** Replication file for : ******** *Meteorological factors against COVID-19 and the role of human mobility* *Olivier Damette, Clément Mathonnat, and Stéphane Goutte* clear all cd "" use DATA1_PLOS_V3.dta xtset id_country time *I. Descriptive statistics : *Table 3 (in the paper) : sum casepop if sample_cases==1 sum deathpop if sample_deaths==1 sum Ntemperature Nradiation Nprecipitation Nhumidity Nwind driving if sample_cases==1 *II. Baseline econometric results : *Table 4 (in the paper) : Direct effects of climate variables on Covid-19 infected cases *=> casepop (lag 7) : *temperatures (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Ntemperature time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Ntemperature time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Ntemperature time if sample_cases == 1 *radiations (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nradiation time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nradiation time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Nradiation time if sample_cases == 1 *humidity (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nhumidity time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nhumidity time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Nhumidity time if sample_cases == 1 *precipitations (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nprecipitation time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nprecipitation time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Nprecipitation time if sample_cases == 1 *wind (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nwind time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nwind time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Nwind time if sample_cases == 1 *Table 5 (in the paper) : Direct effects of climate variables on Covid-19 fatalities *=> deathpop (lag 14) : *temperatures (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Ntemperature time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Ntemperature time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Ntemperature time if sample_deaths == 1 *radiations (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nradiation time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nradiation time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nradiation time if sample_deaths == 1 *humidity (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nhumidity time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nhumidity time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nhumidity time if sample_deaths == 1 *precipitations (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nprecipitation time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nprecipitation time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nprecipitation time if sample_deaths == 1 *wind (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nwind time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nwind time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nwind time if sample_deaths == 1 *Table 6. (in the paper) : Indirect effects of climate variables on Covid-19 infected cases through human mobility *=> casepop (lag 7) : *temperatures (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Ntemperature Drivingl7Ntemperature time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Ntemperature Drivingl7Ntemperature time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Ntemperature Drivingl7Ntemperature time if sample_cases == 1 *radiations (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nradiation Drivingl7Nradiation time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nradiation Drivingl7Nradiation time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nradiation Drivingl7Nradiation time if sample_cases == 1 *humidity (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nhumidity Drivingl7Nhumidity time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nhumidity Drivingl7Nhumidity time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nhumidity Drivingl7Nhumidity time if sample_cases == 1 *precipitations (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nprecipitation Drivingl7Nprecipitation time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nprecipitation Drivingl7Nprecipitation time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nprecipitation Drivingl7Nprecipitation time if sample_cases == 1 *wind (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nwind Drivingl7Nwind time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nwind Drivingl7Nwind time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nwind Drivingl7Nwind time if sample_cases == 1 *Table 7. (in the paper) : Indirect effects of climate variables on Covid-19 fatalities through human mobility *=> deathpop (lag 14) : *temperatures (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Ntemperature Drivingl14Ntemperature time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Ntemperature Drivingl14Ntemperature time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Ntemperature Drivingl14Ntemperature time if sample_deaths == 1 *radiations (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nradiation Drivingl14Nradiation time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nradiation Drivingl14Nradiation time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nradiation Drivingl14Nradiation time if sample_deaths == 1 *humidity (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nhumidity Drivingl14Nhumidity time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nhumidity Drivingl14Nhumidity time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nhumidity Drivingl14Nhumidity time if sample_deaths == 1 *precipitations (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nprecipitation Drivingl14Nprecipitation time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nprecipitation Drivingl14Nprecipitation time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nprecipitation Drivingl14Nprecipitation time if sample_deaths == 1 *wind (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nwind Drivingl14Nwind time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nwind Drivingl14Nwind time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nwind Drivingl14Nwind time if sample_deaths == 1 *III. Robustness checks : *1. Testing for thresholds effects in climate variables : *Table B1. (in the Online Appendix) : *=> casepop (lag 7) : *temperatures (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Ntemperature SQl7Ntemperature time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Ntemperature SQl7Ntemperature time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Ntemperature SQl7Ntemperature time if sample_cases == 1 *radiations (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nradiation SQl7Nradiation time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nradiation SQl7Nradiation time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Nradiation SQl7Nradiation time if sample_cases == 1 *humidity (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nhumidity SQl7Nhumidity time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nhumidity SQl7Nhumidity time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Nhumidity SQl7Nhumidity time if sample_cases == 1 *precipitations (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nprecipitation SQl7Nprecipitation time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nprecipitation SQl7Nprecipitation time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Nprecipitation SQl7Nprecipitation time if sample_cases == 1 *wind (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nwind SQl7Nwind time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nwind SQl7Nwind time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Nwind SQl7Nwind time if sample_cases == 1 *Table B2. (in the Online Appendix) : *=> deathpop (lag 14) : *temperatures (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Ntemperature SQl14Ntemperature time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Ntemperature SQl14Ntemperature time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Ntemperature SQl14Ntemperature time if sample_deaths == 1 *radiations (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nradiation SQl14Nradiation time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nradiation SQl14Nradiation time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nradiation SQl14Nradiation time if sample_deaths == 1 *humidity (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nhumidity SQl14Nhumidity time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nhumidity SQl14Nhumidity time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nhumidity SQl14Nhumidity time if sample_deaths == 1 *precipitations (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nprecipitation SQl14Nprecipitation time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nprecipitation SQl14Nprecipitation time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nprecipitation SQl14Nprecipitation time if sample_deaths == 1 *wind (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nwind SQl14Nwind time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nwind SQl14Nwind time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nwind SQl14Nwind time if sample_deaths == 1 *2. Testing for interactions between climate variables : *Table C1. (in the Online Appendix) : *=> casepop (lag 7) : *temperatures*radiations : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Ntemperature l7Nradiation l7Ntemperature_radiation time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Ntemperature l7Nradiation l7Ntemperature_radiation time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Ntemperature l7Nradiation l7Ntemperature_radiation time if sample_cases == 1 *temperatures*humidity : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Ntemperature l7Nhumidity l7Ntemperature_humidity time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Ntemperature l7Nhumidity l7Ntemperature_humidity time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Ntemperature l7Nhumidity l7Ntemperature_humidity time if sample_cases == 1 *radiations*humidity : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nradiation l7Nhumidity l7Nradiation_humidity time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nradiation l7Nhumidity l7Nradiation_humidity time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Nradiation l7Nhumidity l7Nradiation_humidity time if sample_cases == 1 *Table C2. (in the Online Appendix) : *=> deathpop (lag 14) : *temperatures*radiations : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Ntemperature l14Nradiation l14Ntemperature_radiation time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Ntemperature l14Nradiation l14Ntemperature_radiation time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Ntemperature l14Nradiation l14Ntemperature_radiation time if sample_deaths == 1 *temperatures*humidity : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Ntemperature l14Nhumidity l14Ntemperature_humidity time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Ntemperature l14Nhumidity l14Ntemperature_humidity time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Ntemperature l14Nhumidity l14Ntemperature_humidity time if sample_deaths == 1 *radiations*humidity : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nradiation l14Nhumidity l14Nradiation_humidity time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nradiation l14Nhumidity l14Nradiation_humidity time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nradiation l14Nhumidity l14Nradiation_humidity time if sample_deaths == 1 *3. Increasing lags for Covid-19, climate, and human mobility variables : *Table D1. (in the Online Appendix) : *=> casepop (lag 21) : *temperatures (lag 21) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l21casepop l21Ntemperature time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l21casepop l21Ntemperature time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l21casepop l21Ntemperature time if sample_cases == 1 *radiations (lag 21) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l21casepop l21Nradiation time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l21casepop l21Nradiation time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l21casepop l21Nradiation time if sample_cases == 1 *humidity (lag 21) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l21casepop l21Nhumidity time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l21casepop l21Nhumidity time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l21casepop l21Nhumidity time if sample_cases == 1 *precipitations (lag 21) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l21casepop l21Nprecipitation time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l21casepop l21Nprecipitation time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l21casepop l21Nprecipitation time if sample_cases == 1 *wind (lag 21) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l21casepop l21Nwind time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l21casepop l21Nwind time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l21casepop l21Nwind time if sample_cases == 1 *Table D2. (in the Online Appendix) : *=> deathpop (lag 28) : *temperatures (lag 28) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l28deathpop l28casepop l28Ntemperature time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l28deathpop l28casepop l28Ntemperature time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l28deathpop l28casepop l28Ntemperature time if sample_deaths == 1 *radiations (lag 28) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l28deathpop l28casepop l28Nradiation time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l28deathpop l28casepop l28Nradiation time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l28deathpop l28casepop l28Nradiation time if sample_deaths == 1 *humidity (lag 28) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l28deathpop l28casepop l28Nhumidity time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l28deathpop l28casepop l28Nhumidity time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l28deathpop l28casepop l28Nhumidity time if sample_deaths == 1 *precipitations (lag 28) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l28deathpop l28casepop l28Nprecipitation time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l28deathpop l28casepop l28Nprecipitation time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l28deathpop l28casepop l28Nprecipitation time if sample_deaths == 1 *wind (lag 28) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l28deathpop l28casepop l28Nwind time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l28deathpop l28casepop l28Nwind time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l28deathpop l28casepop l28Nwind time if sample_deaths == 1 *Table D3. (in the Online Appendix) : *=> casepop (lag 21) : *temperatures (lag 21) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l21casepop l21driving l21Ntemperature Drivingl21Ntemperature time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l21casepop l21driving l21Ntemperature Drivingl21Ntemperature time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l21casepop l21driving l21Ntemperature Drivingl21Ntemperature time if sample_cases == 1 *radiations (lag 21) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l21casepop l21driving l21Nradiation Drivingl21Nradiation time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l21casepop l21driving l21Nradiation Drivingl21Nradiation time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l21casepop l21driving l21Nradiation Drivingl21Nradiation time if sample_cases == 1 *humidity (lag 21) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l21casepop l21driving l21Nhumidity Drivingl21Nhumidity time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l21casepop l21driving l21Nhumidity Drivingl21Nhumidity time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l21casepop l21driving l21Nhumidity Drivingl21Nhumidity time if sample_cases == 1 *precipitations (lag 21) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l21casepop l21driving l21Nprecipitation Drivingl21Nprecipitation time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l21casepop l21driving l21Nprecipitation Drivingl21Nprecipitation time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l21casepop l21driving l21Nprecipitation Drivingl21Nprecipitation time if sample_cases == 1 *wind (lag 21) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l21casepop l21driving l21Nwind Drivingl21Nwind time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l21casepop l21driving l21Nwind Drivingl21Nwind time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l21casepop l21driving l21Nwind Drivingl21Nwind time if sample_cases == 1 *Table D4. (in the Online Appendix) : *=> deathpop (lag 28) : *temperatures (lag 28) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l28deathpop l28casepop l28driving l28Ntemperature Drivingl28Ntemperature time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l28deathpop l28casepop l28driving l28Ntemperature Drivingl28Ntemperature time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l28deathpop l28casepop l28driving l28Ntemperature Drivingl28Ntemperature time if sample_deaths == 1 *radiations (lag 28) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l28deathpop l28casepop l28driving l28Nradiation Drivingl28Nradiation time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l28deathpop l28casepop l28driving l28Nradiation Drivingl28Nradiation time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l28deathpop l28casepop l28driving l28Nradiation Drivingl28Nradiation time if sample_deaths == 1 *humidity (lag 28) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l28deathpop l28casepop l28driving l28Nhumidity Drivingl28Nhumidity time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l28deathpop l28casepop l28driving l28Nhumidity Drivingl28Nhumidity time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l28deathpop l28casepop l28driving l28Nhumidity Drivingl28Nhumidity time if sample_deaths == 1 *precipitations (lag 28) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l28deathpop l28casepop l28driving l28Nprecipitation Drivingl28Nprecipitation time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l28deathpop l28casepop l28driving l28Nprecipitation Drivingl28Nprecipitation time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l28deathpop l28casepop l28driving l28Nprecipitation Drivingl28Nprecipitation time if sample_deaths == 1 *wind (lag 28) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l28deathpop l28casepop l28driving l28Nwind Drivingl28Nwind time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l28deathpop l28casepop l28driving l28Nwind Drivingl28Nwind time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l28deathpop l28casepop l28driving l28Nwind Drivingl28Nwind time if sample_deaths == 1 *4. Endogeneity issues : System-GMM estimates *Table E1. (in the Online Appendix) : *=> casepop (lag 7) : *l1casepop : predetermined *l7casepop : endogenous *lag 7 climate variables : exogenous *l7driving : endogenous *lag 7 interaction climate et mobility variables : endogenous *time : exogenous *temperatures (lag 7) : xtabond2 casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Ntemperature Drivingl7Ntemperature time if sample_cases == 1, gmm(l1casepop, lag(1 7) collapse) gmm(l7casepop, lag(2 7) collapse) gmm(l7driving, lag(2 7) collapse) gmm(Drivingl7Ntemperature, lag(2 7) collapse) iv(l7Ntemperature time) twostep robust *radiations (lag 7) : xtabond2 casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nradiation Drivingl7Nradiation time if sample_cases == 1, gmm(l1casepop, lag(1 7) collapse) gmm(l7casepop, lag(2 7) collapse) gmm(l7driving, lag(2 7) collapse) gmm(Drivingl7Nradiation, lag(2 7) collapse) iv(l7Nradiation time) twostep robust *humidity (lag 7) : xtabond2 casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nhumidity Drivingl7Nhumidity time if sample_cases == 1, gmm(l1casepop, lag(1 7) collapse) gmm(l7casepop, lag(2 7) collapse) gmm(l7driving, lag(2 7) collapse) gmm(Drivingl7Nhumidity, lag(2 7) collapse) iv(l7Nhumidity time) twostep robust *precipitations (lag 7) : xtabond2 casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nprecipitation Drivingl7Nprecipitation time if sample_cases == 1, gmm(l1casepop, lag(1 7) collapse) gmm(l7casepop, lag(2 7) collapse) gmm(l7driving, lag(2 7) collapse) gmm(Drivingl7Nprecipitation, lag(2 7) collapse) iv(l7Nprecipitation time) twostep robust *wind (lag 7) : xtabond2 casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nwind Drivingl7Nwind time if sample_cases == 1, gmm(l1casepop, lag(1 7) collapse) gmm(l7casepop, lag(2 7) collapse) gmm(l7driving, lag(2 7) collapse) gmm(Drivingl7Nhumidity, lag(2 7) collapse) iv(l7Nhumidity time) twostep robust *Table E2. (in the Online Appendix) : *=> deathpop (lag 14) : *l1deathpop : predetermined *l14deathpop : endogenous *l14casepop : endogenous *lag 14 climate variables : exogenous *l14driving : endogenous *lag 14 interaction climate et mobility variables : endogenous *time : exogenous *temperatures (lag 14) : xtabond2 deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Ntemperature Drivingl14Ntemperature time if sample_deaths == 1, gmm(l1deathpop, lag(1 7) collapse) gmm(l14deathpop, lag(2 7) collapse) gmm(l14casepop, lag(2 7) collapse) gmm(l14driving, lag(2 7) collapse) gmm(Drivingl14Ntemperature, lag(2 7) collapse) iv(l14Ntemperature time) twostep robust *radiations (lag 14) : xtabond2 deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nradiation Drivingl14Nradiation time if sample_deaths == 1, gmm(l1deathpop, lag(1 7) collapse) gmm(l14deathpop, lag(2 7) collapse) gmm(l14casepop, lag(2 7) collapse) gmm(l14driving, lag(2 7) collapse) gmm(Drivingl14Nradiation, lag(2 7) collapse) iv(l14Nradiation time) twostep robust *humidity (lag 14) : xtabond2 deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nhumidity Drivingl14Nhumidity time if sample_deaths == 1, gmm(l1deathpop, lag(1 7) collapse) gmm(l14deathpop, lag(2 7) collapse) gmm(l14casepop, lag(2 7) collapse) gmm(l14driving, lag(2 7) collapse) gmm(Drivingl14Nhumidity, lag(2 7) collapse) iv(l14Nhumidity time) twostep robust *precipitations (lag 14) : xtabond2 deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nprecipitation Drivingl14Nprecipitation time if sample_deaths == 1, gmm(l1deathpop, lag(1 7) collapse) gmm(l14deathpop, lag(2 7) collapse) gmm(l14casepop, lag(2 7) collapse) gmm(l14driving, lag(2 7) collapse) gmm(Drivingl14Nprecipitation, lag(2 7) collapse) iv(l14Nprecipitation time) twostep robust *wind (lag 14) : xtabond2 deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nwind Drivingl14Nwind time if sample_deaths == 1, gmm(l1deathpop, lag(1 7) collapse) gmm(l14deathpop, lag(2 7) collapse) gmm(l14casepop, lag(2 7) collapse) gmm(l14driving, lag(2 7) collapse) gmm(Drivingl14Nwind, lag(2 7) collapse) iv(l14Nwind time) twostep robust *5. Time span change : *Estimates since 01/01/2020 : *Table F1. (in the Online Appendix) : *=> casepop (lag 7) : *temperatures (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Ntemperature time, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Ntemperature time collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Ntemperature time *radiations (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nradiation time, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nradiation time collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Nradiation time *humidity (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nhumidity time, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nhumidity time collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Nhumidity time *precipitations (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nprecipitation time, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nprecipitation time collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Nprecipitation time *wind (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nwind time, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nwind time collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Nwind time *Table F2. (in the Online Appendix) : *=> deathpop (lag 14) : *temperatures (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Ntemperature time, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Ntemperature time collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Ntemperature time *radiations (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nradiation time, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nradiation time collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nradiation time *humidity (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nhumidity time, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nhumidity time collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nhumidity time if sample_deaths == 1 *precipitations (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nprecipitation time, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nprecipitation time collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nprecipitation time *wind (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nwind time, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nwind time collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nwind time *Table F3. (in the Online Appendix) : *=> casepop (lag 7) : *temperatures (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Ntemperature Drivingl7Ntemperature time, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Ntemperature Drivingl7Ntemperature time collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Ntemperature Drivingl7Ntemperature time *radiations (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nradiation Drivingl7Nradiation time, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nradiation Drivingl7Nradiation time collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nradiation Drivingl7Nradiation time *humidity (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nhumidity Drivingl7Nhumidity time, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nhumidity Drivingl7Nhumidity time collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nhumidity Drivingl7Nhumidity time *precipitations (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nprecipitation Drivingl7Nprecipitation time, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nprecipitation Drivingl7Nprecipitation time collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nprecipitation Drivingl7Nprecipitation time *wind (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nwind Drivingl7Nwind time, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nwind Drivingl7Nwind time collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nwind Drivingl7Nwind time *Table F4. (in the Online Appendix) : *=> deathpop (lag 14) : *temperatures (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Ntemperature Drivingl14Ntemperature time, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Ntemperature Drivingl14Ntemperature time collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Ntemperature Drivingl14Ntemperature time *radiations (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nradiation Drivingl14Nradiation time, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nradiation Drivingl14Nradiation time collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nradiation Drivingl14Nradiation time *humidity (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nhumidity Drivingl14Nhumidity time, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nhumidity Drivingl14Nhumidity time collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nhumidity Drivingl14Nhumidity time *precipitations(lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nprecipitation Drivingl14Nprecipitation time, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nprecipitation Drivingl14Nprecipitation time collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nprecipitation Drivingl14Nprecipitation time *wind (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nwind Drivingl14Nwind time, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nwind Drivingl14Nwind time collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nwind Drivingl14Nwind time *Estimates until 15/09/2020 with alternative climate variables clear all cd "" use DATA2_PLOS_V2.dta xtset id_country time *Table F5. (in the Online Appendix) : *=> casepop (lag 7) : *temperatures (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Ntemperature time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Ntemperature time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Ntemperature time if sample_cases == 1 *radiations (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nradiation time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nradiation time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Nradiation time if sample_cases == 1 *humidity (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nhumidity time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nhumidity time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Nhumidity time if sample_cases == 1 *precipitations (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nprecipitation time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nprecipitation time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Nprecipitation time if sample_cases == 1 *wind (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nwind time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nwind time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Nwind time if sample_cases == 1 *Table F6. (in the Online Appendix) : *=> deathpop (lag 14) : *temperatures (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Ntemperature time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Ntemperature time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Ntemperature time if sample_deaths == 1 *radiations (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nradiation time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nradiation time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nradiation time if sample_deaths == 1 *humidity (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nhumidity time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nhumidity time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nhumidity time if sample_deaths == 1 *precipitations (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nprecipitation time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nprecipitation time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nprecipitation time if sample_deaths == 1 *wind (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nwind time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nwind time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nwind time if sample_deaths == 1 *Table F7. (in the Online Appendix) : *=> casepop (lag 7) : *temperatures (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Ntemperature Drivingl7Ntemperature time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Ntemperature Drivingl7Ntemperature time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Ntemperature Drivingl7Ntemperature time if sample_cases == 1 *radiations (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nradiation Drivingl7Nradiation time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nradiation Drivingl7Nradiation time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nradiation Drivingl7Nradiation time if sample_cases == 1 *humidity (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nhumidity Drivingl7Nhumidity time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nhumidity Drivingl7Nhumidity time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nhumidity Drivingl7Nhumidity time if sample_cases == 1 *precipitations (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nprecipitation Drivingl7Nprecipitation time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nprecipitation Drivingl7Nprecipitation time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nprecipitation Drivingl7Nprecipitation time if sample_cases == 1 *wind (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nwind Drivingl7Nwind time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nwind Drivingl7Nwind time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nwind Drivingl7Nwind time if sample_cases == 1 *Table F8. (in the Online Appendix) : *=> deathpop (lag 14) : *temperatures (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Ntemperature Drivingl14Ntemperature time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Ntemperature Drivingl14Ntemperature time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Ntemperature Drivingl14Ntemperature time if sample_deaths == 1 *radiations (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nradiation Drivingl14Nradiation time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nradiation Drivingl14Nradiation time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nradiation Drivingl14Nradiation time if sample_deaths == 1 *humidity (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nhumidity Drivingl14Nhumidity time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nhumidity Drivingl14Nhumidity time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nhumidity Drivingl14Nhumidity time if sample_deaths == 1 *precipitations (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nprecipitation Drivingl14Nprecipitation time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nprecipitation Drivingl14Nprecipitation time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nprecipitation Drivingl14Nprecipitation time if sample_deaths == 1 *wind (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nwind Drivingl14Nwind time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nwind Drivingl14Nwind time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nwind Drivingl14Nwind time if sample_deaths == 1 *6. Accounting for potential outliers : estimates without Chile : clear all cd "" use DATA1_PLOS_V2.dta xtset id_country time *Table G1. (in the Online Appendix) : *=> casepop (lag 7) : *temperatures (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Ntemperature time if sample_cases == 1 & chili_dummy == 0, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Ntemperature time if sample_cases == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Ntemperature time if sample_cases == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 *radiations (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nradiation time if sample_cases == 1 & chili_dummy == 0, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nradiation time if sample_cases == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Nradiation time if sample_cases == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 *humidity (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nhumidity time if sample_cases == 1 & chili_dummy == 0, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nhumidity time if sample_cases == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Nhumidity time if sample_cases == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 *precipitations (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nprecipitation time if sample_cases == 1 & chili_dummy == 0, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nprecipitation time if sample_cases == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Nprecipitation time if sample_cases == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 *wind (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nwind time if sample_cases == 1 & chili_dummy == 0, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nwind time if sample_cases == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Nwind time if sample_cases == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 *Table G2. (in the Online Appendix) : *=> deathpop (lag 14) : *temperatures (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Ntemperature time if sample_deaths == 1 & chili_dummy == 0, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Ntemperature time if sample_deaths == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Ntemperature time if sample_deaths == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 *radiations (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nradiation time if sample_deaths == 1 & chili_dummy == 0, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nradiation time if sample_deaths == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nradiation time if sample_deaths == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 *humidity (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nhumidity time if sample_deaths == 1 & chili_dummy == 0, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nhumidity time if sample_deaths == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nhumidity time if sample_deaths == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 *precipitations (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nprecipitation time if sample_deaths == 1 & chili_dummy == 0, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nprecipitation time if sample_deaths == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nprecipitation time if sample_deaths == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 *wind (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nwind time if sample_deaths == 1 & chili_dummy == 0, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nwind time if sample_deaths == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nwind time if sample_deaths == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 *Table G3. (in the Online Appendix) : *=> casepop (lag 7) : *temperatures (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Ntemperature Drivingl7Ntemperature time if sample_cases == 1 & chili_dummy == 0, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Ntemperature Drivingl7Ntemperature time if sample_cases == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Ntemperature Drivingl7Ntemperature time if sample_cases == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 *radiations (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nradiation Drivingl7Nradiation time if sample_cases == 1 & chili_dummy == 0, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nradiation Drivingl7Nradiation time if sample_cases == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nradiation Drivingl7Nradiation time if sample_cases == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 *humidity (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nhumidity Drivingl7Nhumidity time if sample_cases == 1 & chili_dummy == 0, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nhumidity Drivingl7Nhumidity time if sample_cases == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nhumidity Drivingl7Nhumidity time if sample_cases == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 *precipitations (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nprecipitation Drivingl7Nprecipitation time if sample_cases == 1 & chili_dummy == 0, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nprecipitation Drivingl7Nprecipitation time if sample_cases == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nprecipitation Drivingl7Nprecipitation time if sample_cases == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 *wind (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nwind Drivingl7Nwind time if sample_cases == 1 & chili_dummy == 0, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nwind Drivingl7Nwind time if sample_cases == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nwind Drivingl7Nwind time if sample_cases == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 *Table G4. (in the Online Appendix) : *=> deathpop (lag 14) : *temperatures (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Ntemperature Drivingl14Ntemperature time if sample_deaths == 1 & chili_dummy == 0, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Ntemperature Drivingl14Ntemperature time if sample_deaths == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Ntemperature Drivingl14Ntemperature time if sample_deaths == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 *radiations (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nradiation Drivingl14Nradiation time if sample_deaths == 1 & chili_dummy == 0, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nradiation Drivingl14Nradiation time if sample_deaths == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nradiation Drivingl14Nradiation time if sample_deaths == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 *humidity (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nhumidity Drivingl14Nhumidity time if sample_deaths == 1 & chili_dummy == 0, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nhumidity Drivingl14Nhumidity time if sample_deaths == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nhumidity Drivingl14Nhumidity time if sample_deaths == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 *precipitations(lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nprecipitation Drivingl14Nprecipitation time if sample_deaths == 1 & chili_dummy == 0, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nprecipitation Drivingl14Nprecipitation time if sample_deaths == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nprecipitation Drivingl14Nprecipitation time if sample_deaths == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 *wind (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nwind Drivingl14Nwind time if sample_deaths == 1 & chili_dummy == 0, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nwind Drivingl14Nwind time if sample_deaths == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nwind Drivingl14Nwind time if sample_deaths == 1 & chili_dummy == 0 *7. Accounting for lockdown policies : *Table H1 (in the Online Appendix) : *=> casepop (lag 7) : *temperature (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Ntemperature Drivingl7Ntemperature l7Dummy_lockdown time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Ntemperature Drivingl7Ntemperature l7Dummy_lockdown time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Ntemperature Drivingl7Ntemperature l7Dummy_lockdown time if sample_cases == 1 *radiation (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nradiation Drivingl7Nradiation l7Dummy_lockdown time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nradiation Drivingl7Nradiation l7Dummy_lockdown time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nradiation Drivingl7Nradiation l7Dummy_lockdown time if sample_cases == 1 *humidity (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nhumidity Drivingl7Nhumidity l7Dummy_lockdown time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nhumidity Drivingl7Nhumidity l7Dummy_lockdown time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nhumidity Drivingl7Nhumidity l7Dummy_lockdown time if sample_cases == 1 *precipitation (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nprecipitation Drivingl7Nprecipitation l7Dummy_lockdown time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nprecipitation Drivingl7Nprecipitation l7Dummy_lockdown time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nprecipitation Drivingl7Nprecipitation l7Dummy_lockdown time if sample_cases == 1 *wind (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nwind Drivingl7Nwind l7Dummy_lockdown time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nwind Drivingl7Nwind l7Dummy_lockdown time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nwind Drivingl7Nwind l7Dummy_lockdown time if sample_cases == 1 *Table H2 (in the Online Appendix) : *=> deathpop (lag 14) : *temperature (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Ntemperature Drivingl14Ntemperature l14Dummy_lockdown time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Ntemperature Drivingl14Ntemperature l14Dummy_lockdown time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Ntemperature Drivingl14Ntemperature l14Dummy_lockdown time if sample_deaths == 1 *radiation (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nradiation Drivingl14Nradiation l14Dummy_lockdown time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nradiation Drivingl14Nradiation l14Dummy_lockdown time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nradiation Drivingl14Nradiation l14Dummy_lockdown time if sample_deaths == 1 *humidity (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nhumidity Drivingl14Nhumidity l14Dummy_lockdown time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nhumidity Drivingl14Nhumidity l14Dummy_lockdown time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nhumidity Drivingl14Nhumidity l14Dummy_lockdown time if sample_deaths == 1 *precipitation (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nprecipitation Drivingl14Nprecipitation l14Dummy_lockdown time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nprecipitation Drivingl14Nprecipitation l14Dummy_lockdown time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nprecipitation Drivingl14Nprecipitation l14Dummy_lockdown time if sample_deaths == 1 *wind (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nwind Drivingl14Nwind l14Dummy_lockdown time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nwind Drivingl14Nwind l14Dummy_lockdown time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nwind Drivingl14Nwind l14Dummy_lockdown time if sample_deaths == 1 *Table H3 (in the Online Appendix) : *=> casepop (lag 7) : *temperature (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Ntemperature Drivingl7Ntemperature l7Time_lockdown time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Ntemperature Drivingl7Ntemperature l7Time_lockdown time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Ntemperature Drivingl7Ntemperature l7Time_lockdown time if sample_cases == 1 *radiation (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nradiation Drivingl7Nradiation l7Time_lockdown time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nradiation Drivingl7Nradiation l7Time_lockdown time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nradiation Drivingl7Nradiation l7Time_lockdown time if sample_cases == 1 *humidity (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nhumidity Drivingl7Nhumidity l7Time_lockdown time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nhumidity Drivingl7Nhumidity l7Time_lockdown time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nhumidity Drivingl7Nhumidity l7Time_lockdown time if sample_cases == 1 *precipitation (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nprecipitation Drivingl7Nprecipitation l7Time_lockdown time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nprecipitation Drivingl7Nprecipitation l7Time_lockdown time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nprecipitation Drivingl7Nprecipitation l7Time_lockdown time if sample_cases == 1 *wind (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nwind Drivingl7Nwind l7Time_lockdown time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nwind Drivingl7Nwind l7Time_lockdown time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nwind Drivingl7Nwind l7Time_lockdown time if sample_cases == 1 *Table H4 (in the Online Appendix) : *=> deathpop (lag 14) : *temperature (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Ntemperature Drivingl14Ntemperature l14Time_lockdown time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Ntemperature Drivingl14Ntemperature l14Time_lockdown time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Ntemperature Drivingl14Ntemperature l14Time_lockdown time if sample_deaths == 1 *radiation (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nradiation Drivingl14Nradiation l14Time_lockdown time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nradiation Drivingl14Nradiation l14Time_lockdown time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nradiation Drivingl14Nradiation l14Time_lockdown time if sample_deaths == 1 *humidity (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nhumidity Drivingl14Nhumidity l14Time_lockdown time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nhumidity Drivingl14Nhumidity l14Time_lockdown time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nhumidity Drivingl14Nhumidity l14Time_lockdown time if sample_deaths == 1 *precipitation (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nprecipitation Drivingl14Nprecipitation l14Time_lockdown time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nprecipitation Drivingl14Nprecipitation l14Time_lockdown time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nprecipitation Drivingl14Nprecipitation l14Time_lockdown time if sample_deaths == 1 *wind (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nwind Drivingl14Nwind l14Time_lockdown time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nwind Drivingl14Nwind l14Time_lockdown time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nwind Drivingl14Nwind l14Time_lockdown time if sample_deaths == 1 *8. Accounting for non-standardized climate variables : *Table I1 (in the Online Appendix) : *=> casepop (lag 7) : *temperature (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7temperature time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7temperature time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7temperature time if sample_cases == 1 *radiation (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7radiation time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7radiation time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7radiation time if sample_cases == 1 *humidity (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7humidity time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7humidity time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7humidity time if sample_cases == 1 *precipitation (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7precipitation time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7precipitation time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7precipitation time if sample_cases == 1 *wind (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7wind time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7wind time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7wind time if sample_cases == 1 *Table I2 (in the Online Appendix) : *=> deathpop (lag 14) : *temperature (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14temperature time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14temperature time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14temperature time if sample_deaths == 1 *radiation (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14radiation time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14radiation time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14radiation time if sample_deaths == 1 *humidity (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14humidity time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14humidity time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14humidity time if sample_deaths == 1 *precipitation (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14precipitation time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14precipitation time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14precipitation time if sample_deaths == 1 *wind (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14wind time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14wind time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14wind time if sample_deaths == 1 *Table I3 (in the Online Appendix) : *=> casepop (lag 7) : *temperature (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7temperature Drivingl7temperature time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7temperature Drivingl7temperature time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7temperature Drivingl7temperature time if sample_cases == 1 *radiation (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7radiation Drivingl7radiation time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7radiation Drivingl7radiation time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7radiation Drivingl7radiation time if sample_cases == 1 *humidity (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7humidity Drivingl7humidity time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7humidity Drivingl7humidity time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7humidity Drivingl7humidity time if sample_cases == 1 *precipitation (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7precipitation Drivingl7precipitation time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7precipitation Drivingl7precipitation time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7precipitation Drivingl7precipitation time if sample_cases == 1 *wind (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7wind Drivingl7wind time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7wind Drivingl7wind time if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7wind Drivingl7wind time if sample_cases == 1 *Table I4 (in the Online Appendix) : *=> deathpop (lag 14) : *temperature (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14temperature Drivingl14temperature time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14temperature Drivingl14temperature time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14temperature Drivingl14temperature time if sample_deaths == 1 *radiation (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14radiation Drivingl14radiation time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14radiation Drivingl14radiation time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14radiation Drivingl14radiation time if sample_deaths == 1 *humidity (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14humidity Drivingl14humidity time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14humidity Drivingl14humidity time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14humidity Drivingl14humidity time if sample_deaths == 1 *precipitation (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14precipitation Drivingl14precipitation time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14precipitation Drivingl14precipitation time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14precipitation Drivingl14precipitation time if sample_deaths == 1 *wind (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14wind Drivingl14wind time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14wind Drivingl14wind time if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14wind Drivingl14wind time if sample_deaths == 1 *9. Accounting for seasonality in climate variables : *Table J1 (in the Online Appendix) : *=> casepop (lag 7) : *temperature (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Ntemperature time season if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Ntemperature time season if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Ntemperature time season if sample_cases == 1 *radiation (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nradiation time season if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nradiation time season if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Nradiation time season if sample_cases == 1 *humidity (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nhumidity time season if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nhumidity time season if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Nhumidity time season if sample_cases == 1 *precipitation (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nprecipitation time season if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nprecipitation time season if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Nprecipitation time season if sample_cases == 1 *wind (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nwind time season if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nwind time season if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Nwind time season if sample_cases == 1 *Table J2 (in the Online Appendix) : *=> deathpop (lag 14) : *temperature (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Ntemperature time season if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Ntemperature time season if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Ntemperature time season if sample_deaths == 1 *radiation (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nradiation time season if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nradiation time season if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nradiation time season if sample_deaths == 1 *humidity (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nhumidity time season if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nhumidity time season if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nhumidity time season if sample_deaths == 1 *precipitation (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nprecipitation time season if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nprecipitation time season if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nprecipitation time season if sample_deaths == 1 *wind (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nwind time season if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nwind time season if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nwind time season if sample_deaths == 1 *Table J3 (in the Online Appendix) : *=> casepop (lag 7) : *temperature (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Ntemperature Drivingl7Ntemperature time season if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Ntemperature Drivingl7Ntemperature time season if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Ntemperature Drivingl7Ntemperature time season if sample_cases == 1 *radiation (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nradiation Drivingl7Nradiation time season if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nradiation Drivingl7Nradiation time season if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nradiation Drivingl7Nradiation time season if sample_cases == 1 *humidity (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nhumidity Drivingl7Nhumidity time season if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nhumidity Drivingl7Nhumidity time season if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nhumidity Drivingl7Nhumidity time season if sample_cases == 1 *precipitation (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nprecipitation Drivingl7Nprecipitation time season if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nprecipitation Drivingl7Nprecipitation time season if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nprecipitation Drivingl7Nprecipitation time season if sample_cases == 1 *wind (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nwind Drivingl7Nwind time season if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nwind Drivingl7Nwind time season if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nwind Drivingl7Nwind time season if sample_cases == 1 *Table J4 (in the Online Appendix) : *=> deathpop (lag 14) : *temperature (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Ntemperature Drivingl14Ntemperature time season if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Ntemperature Drivingl14Ntemperature time season if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Ntemperature Drivingl14Ntemperature time season if sample_deaths == 1 *radiation (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nradiation Drivingl14Nradiation time season if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nradiation Drivingl14Nradiation time season if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nradiation Drivingl14Nradiation time season if sample_deaths == 1 *humidity (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nhumidity Drivingl14Nhumidity time season if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nhumidity Drivingl14Nhumidity time season if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nhumidity Drivingl14Nhumidity time season if sample_deaths == 1 *precipitation (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nprecipitation Drivingl14Nprecipitation time season if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nprecipitation Drivingl14Nprecipitation time season if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nprecipitation Drivingl14Nprecipitation time season if sample_deaths == 1 *wind (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nwind Drivingl14Nwind time season if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nwind Drivingl14Nwind time season if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nwind Drivingl14Nwind time season if sample_deaths == 1 *Table J5 (in the Online Appendix) : *=> casepop (lag 7) : *temperature (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Ntemperature time l7meanNtemperature if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Ntemperature time l7meanNtemperature if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Ntemperature time l7meanNtemperature if sample_cases == 1 *radiation (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nradiation time l7meanNradiation if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nradiation time l7meanNradiation if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Nradiation time l7meanNradiation if sample_cases == 1 *humidity (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nhumidity time l7meanNhumidity if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nhumidity time l7meanNhumidity if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Nhumidity time l7meanNhumidity if sample_cases == 1 *precipitation (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nprecipitation time l7meanNprecipitation if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nprecipitation time l7meanNprecipitation if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Nprecipitation time l7meanNprecipitation if sample_cases == 1 *wind (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nwind time l7meanNwind if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Nwind time l7meanNwind if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7Nwind time l7meanNwind if sample_cases == 1 *Table J6 (in the Online Appendix) : *=> deathpop (lag 14) : *temperature (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Ntemperature time l14meanNtemperature if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Ntemperature time l14meanNtemperature if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Ntemperature time l14meanNtemperature if sample_deaths == 1 *radiation (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nradiation time l14meanNradiation if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nradiation time l14meanNradiation if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nradiation time l14meanNradiation if sample_deaths == 1 *humidity (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nhumidity time l14meanNhumidity if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nhumidity time l14meanNhumidity if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nhumidity time l14meanNhumidity if sample_deaths == 1 *precipitation (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nprecipitation time l14meanNprecipitation if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nprecipitation time l14meanNprecipitation if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nprecipitation time l14meanNprecipitation if sample_deaths == 1 *wind (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nwind time l14meanNwind if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nwind time l14meanNwind if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Nwind time l14meanNwind if sample_deaths == 1 *Table J7 (in the Online Appendix) : *=> casepop (lag 7) : *temperature (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Ntemperature Drivingl7Ntemperature time l7meanNtemperature if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Ntemperature Drivingl7Ntemperature time l7meanNtemperature if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Ntemperature Drivingl7Ntemperature time l7meanNtemperature if sample_cases == 1 *radiation (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nradiation Drivingl7Nradiation time l7meanNradiation if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nradiation Drivingl7Nradiation time l7meanNradiation if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nradiation Drivingl7Nradiation time l7meanNradiation if sample_cases == 1 *humidity (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nhumidity Drivingl7Nhumidity time l7meanNhumidity if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nhumidity Drivingl7Nhumidity time l7meanNhumidity if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nhumidity Drivingl7Nhumidity time l7meanNhumidity if sample_cases == 1 *precipitation (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nprecipitation Drivingl7Nprecipitation time l7meanNprecipitation if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nprecipitation Drivingl7Nprecipitation time l7meanNprecipitation if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nprecipitation Drivingl7Nprecipitation time l7meanNprecipitation if sample_cases == 1 *wind (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nwind Drivingl7Nwind time l7meanNwind if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nwind Drivingl7Nwind time l7meanNwind if sample_cases == 1 collin l1casepop l7casepop l7driving l7Nwind Drivingl7Nwind time l7meanNwind if sample_cases == 1 *Table J8 (in the Online Appendix) : *=> deathpop (lag 14) : *temperature (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Ntemperature Drivingl14Ntemperature time l14meanNtemperature if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Ntemperature Drivingl14Ntemperature time l14meanNtemperature if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Ntemperature Drivingl14Ntemperature time l14meanNtemperature if sample_deaths == 1 *radiation (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nradiation Drivingl14Nradiation time l14meanNradiation if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nradiation Drivingl14Nradiation time l14meanNradiation if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nradiation Drivingl14Nradiation time l14meanNradiation if sample_deaths == 1 *humidity (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nhumidity Drivingl14Nhumidity time l14meanNhumidity if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nhumidity Drivingl14Nhumidity time l14meanNhumidity if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nhumidity Drivingl14Nhumidity time l14meanNhumidity if sample_deaths == 1 *precipitation (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nprecipitation Drivingl14Nprecipitation time l14meanNprecipitation if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nprecipitation Drivingl14Nprecipitation time l14meanNprecipitation if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nprecipitation Drivingl14Nprecipitation time l14meanNprecipitation if sample_deaths == 1 *wind (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nwind Drivingl14Nwind time l14meanNwind if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) xtmg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nwind Drivingl14Nwind time l14meanNwind if sample_deaths == 1 collin l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14driving l14Nwind Drivingl14Nwind time l14meanNwind if sample_deaths == 1 *IV. Graphs : *Direct effect of climate : *=> casepop (lag 7) : *temperature (lag 7) : xtreg casepop l1casepop l7casepop l7Ntemperature time if sample_cases == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) summarize l7Ntemperature return list global temperature_min = round(r(min), 0.1) display $temperature_min global temperature_m1ect = round(r(mean) - r(sd), 0.1) display $temperature_m1ect global temperature_mean = round(r(mean), 0.1) display $temperature_mean global temperature_p1ect = round(r(mean) + r(sd)) display $temperature_p1ect global temperature_max = round(r(max), 0.1) display $temperature_max margins, at(l7Ntemperature = ($temperature_min $temperature_m1ect $temperature_mean $temperature_p1ect $temperature_max)) marginsplot *=> deathpop (lag 14) : *temperature (lag 14) : xtreg deathpop l1deathpop l14deathpop l14casepop l14Ntemperature time if sample_deaths == 1, fe vce(cluster id_country) summarize l14Ntemperature return list global temperature_min = round(r(min), 0.1) display $temperature_min global temperature_m1ect = round(r(mean) - r(sd), 0.1) display $temperature_m1ect global temperature_mean = round(r(mean), 0.1) display $temperature_mean global temperature_p1ect = round(r(mean) + r(sd)) display $temperature_p1ect global temperature_max = round(r(max), 0.1) display $temperature_max margins, at(l14Ntemperature = ($temperature_min $temperature_m1ect $temperature_mean $temperature_p1ect $temperature_max)) marginsplot