Table 4.
Variable | Predicted probability of maintaining adherence ≥95% over time | Predicted probability of maintaining viral suppression over time | Predicted probability of developing resistance to any drug class over time | Predicted probability of developing an AIDS-defining illness by the end of follow-up | Predicted probability of being dead by the end of follow-up |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Period and CD4+ cell count (cells/μl), median (Q1–Q3) | |||||
2000–2006 and <350 | 0.79 (0.67–0.86) | 0.77 (0.58–0.90) | 0.11 (0.07–0.18) | 0.14 (0.08–0.22) | 0.14 (0.08–0.22) |
2000–2006 and ≥350 | 0.72 (0.56–0.81) | 0.70 (0.45–0.88) | 0.04 (0.03–0.08) | 0.13 (0.08–0.22) | 0.14 (0.09–0.22) |
2007–2012 and <350 | 0.83 (0.73–0.88) | 0.68 (0.57–0.79) | 0.05 (0.03–0.08) | 0.05 (0.03–0.08) | 0.05 (0.03–0.08) |
2007–2012 and ≥350 | 0.83 (0.74–0.87) | 0.68 (0.58–0.77) | 0.02 (0.01–0.02) | 0.03 (0.01–0.05) | 0.02 (0.01–0.04) |
Period and CD4+ cell count (cells/μl), median (Q1–Q3) | |||||
2000–2006 and <500 | 0.75 (0.62–0.84) | 0.77 (0.58–0.90) | 0.11 (0.07–0.18) | 0.04 (0.02–0.08) | 0.13 (0.08–0.22) |
2000–2006 and ≥500 | 0.55 (0.36–0.70) | 0.51 (0.23–0.79) | 0.04 (0.03–0.08) | 0.02 (0.01–0.03) | 0.16 (0.10–0.24) |
2007–2012 and <500 | 0.82 (0.73–0.87) | 0.68 (0.58–0.78) | 0.04 (0.03–0.07) | 0.03 (0.01–0.04) | 0.05 (0.03–0.08) |
2007–2012 and ≥500 | 0.84 (0.75–0.88) | 0.65 (0.55–0.74) | 0.01 (0.01–0.02) | 0.01 (0.00–0.01) | 0.01 (0.01–0.02) |
Q1: 25th percentile, Q3: 75th percentile. Models were adjusted for predicted probability of maintaining adherence ≥95% over time (for both CD4+ cell count cut-offs) – age, sex, history of injection drug use, longitudinal viral load and follow-up time; predicted probability of maintaining viral suppression over time (for both CD4+ cell count cut-offs) – age, sex, history of injection drug use, longitudinal adherence to cART and follow-up time; predicted probability of developing resistance to any drug class over time (for both CD4+ cell count cut-offs) – age, sex, history of injection drug use, longitudinal adherence to cART, longitudinal viral load and follow-up time; predicted probability of developing an AIDS-defining illness by the end of follow-up (for both CD4+ cell count cut-offs) – history of injection drug use, longitudinal adherence to cART, longitudinal viral load and follow-up time; predicted probability of being dead by the end of follow-up (for both CD4+ cell count cut-offs) – age, sex, history of injection drug use, longitudinal adherence to cART, longitudinal viral load and follow-up time.