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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2021 May 12.
Published in final edited form as: Hypertension. 2021 Apr 5;77(6):2004–2013. doi: 10.1161/HYPERTENSIONAHA.120.16534

Table 2.

Non-linear Mendelian randomization estimates for the association between systolic blood pressure and incident cardiovascular outcomes. Reference is made to a population mean systolic blood pressure value of 136.5mmHg and a population mean diastolic blood pressure value of 81.8mmHg.

Blood pressure Cardiovascular disease Coronary artery disease Stroke
Hazard ratio 95% confidence interval Hazard ratio 95% confidence interval Hazard ratio 95% confidence interval
Systolic blood pressure (mmHg) min (102.9) 0.28 0.23-0.33 0.21 0.15-0.29 0.42 0.29-0.63
110 0.36 0.32-0.42 0.3 0.24-0.39 0.49 0.36-0.68
120 0.53 0.49-0.58 0.49 0.43-0.57 0.62 0.50-0.77
130 0.78 0.75-0.81 0.77 0.73-0.81 0.82 0.75-0.90
140 1.14 1.12-1.17 1.16 1.12-1.20 1.13 1.07-1.19
150 1.67 1.56-1.80 1.7 1.52-1.90 1.63 1.30-2.05
160 2.45 2.16-2.78 2.43 2.02-2.93 2.49 1.64-3.79
170 3.59 2.99-4.30 3.41 2.64-4.39 4.02 2.12-7.61
180 5.25 4.16-6.64 4.68 3.40-6.44 6.87 2.84-16.63
190 7.69 5.76-10.26 6.32 4.31-9.26 12.55 3.93-40.10
max (194.6) 9.15 6.69-12.52 7.16 4.76-10.76 16.65 4.58-60.56
Diastolic blood pressure (mmHg) min (58.6) 0.2 0.15-0.25 0.14 0.09-0.23 0.3 0.16-0.52
60 0.22 0.17-0.28 0.17 0.11-0.26 0.31 0.18-0.54
65 0.32 0.27-0.39 0.28 0.21-0.38 0.39 0.25-0.62
70 0.47 0.41-0.53 0.44 0.36-0.54 0.51 0.37-0.70
75 0.65 0.61-0.70 0.64 0.58-0.72 0.67 0.55-0.81
80 0.9 0.88-0.91 0.9 0.87-0.92 0.9 0.85-0.95
85 1.21 1.17-1.24 1.21 1.15-1.26 1.23 1.11-1.35
90 1.6 1.48-1.72 1.57 1.41-1.75 1.71 1.32-2.21
95 2.08 1.85-2.35 1.99 1.68-2.35 2.42 1.58-3.70
100 2.68 2.28-3.14 2.45 1.97-3.06 3.5 1.92-6.39
105 3.4 2.78-4.15 2.97 2.28-3.88 5.16 2.35-11.34
max (111.7) 4.6 3.58-5.89 3.72 2.70-5.14 8.88 3.11-25.27