Table 4.
Naive, unconditionally and conditionally unbiased / bias-adjusted estimates calculated using the observed data and O’Brien-Fleming efficacy stopping boundaries from the MUSEC trial. Standard errors (SEs) are calculated using a parametric bootstrap approach with 105 replicates, assuming that the true difference in proportions is equal to 0.14.
| Type of estimator | Estimator | Difference in proportions (SE) | Relative difference to overall MLE |
|---|---|---|---|
| MLE/naive | MLE (overall) | 0.1370 (0.054) | - |
| Unconditionally unbiased/bias-adjusted | MLE (stage 1) | 0.1436 (0.057) | +5% |
| Median unbiased estimator (MUE) | 0.1341 (0.054) | -2% | |
| UMVUE | 0.1278 (0.054) | -7% | |
| Bias-corrected MLE (UBC-MLE) | 0.1328 (0.055) | -3% | |
| Conditionally unbiased/bias-adjusted | |||
| Conditional MUE (CMUE) | 0.1851 (0.080) | +35% | |
| UMVCUE | 0.1724 (0.071) | +26% | |
| Bias-corrected MLE (CBC-MLE) | 0.1909 (0.073) | +39% |