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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2018 Jun 1.
Published in final edited form as: Int J Public Health. 2017 Aug 3;63(Suppl 1):123–136. doi: 10.1007/s00038-017-1023-0

Table 3.

Rates and 95% uncertainty levels (UL) of age-standardized incidence and prevalence of HIV/AIDS per 100,000 population

Location Incidence (95% UL)
Prevalence (95% UL)
1990 2005 2015 1990 2005 2015
Eastern Mediterranean Region     2.9 (2.0–4.9)     4.7 (4.0–5.7)     5.3 (3.9–7.9)     9.1 (5.1–16.4)   23.4 (20.0–28.1)   28.4 (22.3–39.8)
Low and lower middle income
   Afghanistan     2.7 (0.2–20.5)     1.2 (0.4–4.2)     2.6 (0.6–7.3)   10.4 (0.7–57.8)     9.3 (1.9–49.0)   14.9 (4.8–46.7)
   Somalia   24.7 (13.1–45.8)   47.4 (34.8–62.4)   29.2 (18.7–45.0)   79.5 (41.1–143.5) 359.2 (276.3–466.0) 293.1 (224.8–380.7)
   Djibouti 134.5 (58.4–281.3) 115.8 (82.6–159.5)   90.9 (55.0–142.4) 577.6 (198.5–1501.1) 1176.9 (932.3–1472.4) 919.7 (714.8–1161.9)
   Egypt     0.3 (0.2–0.5)     0.5 (0.4–0.8)     1.2 (0.7–1.9)     0.0 (0.0–0.0)     0.5 (0.1–1.1)     3.1 (1.6–4.7)
   Morocco     1.6 (1.3–1.9)     3.9 (3.2–5.2)     4.7 (3.9–5.9)     0.0 (0.0–0.0)   12.3 (7.6–17.7)   18.6 (10.2–29.5)
   Pakistan     0.9 (0.4–4.3)     1.8 (0.9–4.5)     5.6 (1.9–15.0)     0.7 (0.0–4.6)     2.6 (0.4–9.4)   22.3 (6.0–59.6)
   Palestine     0.4 (0.2–0.6)     1.3 (0.9–1.9)     2.0 (1.0–3.4)     0.0 (0.0–0.0)     3.2 (1.6–5.1)     7.0 (3.7–12.0)
   Sudan   15.8 (6.0–31.2)   29.7 (22.0–38.5)   15.7 (7.2–27.5)   79.2 (25.8–155.2) 197.1 (155.7–249.7) 167.5 (131.9–213.6)
   Syria     0.2 (0.2–0.3)     0.2 (0.1–0.2)     0.4 (0.2–0.5)     0.0 (0.0–0.0)     0.0 (0.0–0.0)     0.6 (0.1–1.7)
   Tunisia     0.9 (0.6–1.3)     1.7 (1.1–2.6)     3.0 (1.8–5.0)     0.3 (0.1–0.7)     6.5 (3.3–10.5)   16.0 (7.7–26.9)
   Yemen     6.4 (3.4–31.1)     4.4 (3.3–8.0)     3.7 (2.1–7.5)   17.3 (2.1–97.8)   11.9 (4.0–41.6)   16.8 (5.0–41.4)
Upper middle and high income
   Iran     2.4 (2.0–3.3)     5.4 (4.6–6.3)     6.9 (5.8–8.2)     0.9 (0.4–1.5)     9.4 (6.6–14.4)   11.4 (7.8–17.8)
   Iraq     0.2 (0.1–0.4)     0.7 (0.5–1.2)     1.6 (0.4–3.2)     0.0 (0.0–0.0)     2.0 (1.0–3.2)     7.6 (3.8–13.4)
   Jordan     0.2 (0.1–0.4)     0.3 (0.2–0.5)     0.4 (0.1–0.8)     0.0 (0.0–0.0)     0.2 (0.0–0.5)     0.4 (0.0–0.9)
   Lebanon     8.8 (1.6–62.0)     2.4 (1.0–7.0)     2.7 (1.0–6.8)   63.0 (4.3–447.4)   34.6 (6.3–175.9)   28.6 (7.0–123.0)
   Libya     6.8 (2.2–34.0)     5.4 (2.5–16.5)     5.7 (2.4–16.1)   26.0 (0.3–182.8)   24.4 (1.5–134.4)   29.8 (2.8–84.1)
   Bahrain     2.8 (1.5–6.2)     3.0 (2.2–4.3)     4.0 (1.5–7.6)     9.2 (0.3–20.1)   21.0 (9.1–46.2)   28.5 (12.5–54.1)
   Kuwait     0.9 (0.5–1.6)     0.4 (0.3–0.6)     0.4 (0.1–0.6)     0.4 (0.0–1.0)     0.0 (0.0–0.0)     0.0 (0.0–0.0)
   Oman     1.0 (0.7–1.5)     3.5 (2.6–4.9)     3.1 (2.2–4.1)     1.4 (0.6–2.8)   29.3 (19.3–43.1)   33.7 (18.3–50.5)
   Qatar     1.1 (0.4–3.0)     0.3 (0.2–0.6)     0.4 (0.1–0.8)     5.5 (1.3–9.7)     2.5 (0.8–4.7)     0.9 (0.2–1.8)
   Saudi Arabia     4.0 (1.4–17.8)     3.3 (2.1–6.3)     3.8 (2.2–6.6)   15.2 (2.5–80.5)   21.1 (11.0–48.4)   28.2 (16.4–51.7)
   United Arab Emirates     6.1 (0.8–32.3)     4.0 (0.8–18.4)     4.7 (0.8–15.7)   11.2 (0.2–51.8)   26.0 (1.6–97.2)   36.0 (3.6–155.5)

Global Burden of Disease 2015 study, Eastern Mediterranean countries, 1990–2015