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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2010 Nov 1.
Published in final edited form as: Influenza Other Respir Viruses. 2009 Nov;3(6):267–276. doi: 10.1111/j.1750-2659.2009.00106.x

Table 1.

Estimates obtained from the original, imputed and augmented data. Bootstrap confidence intervals are shown. Italicized results reflect results accounting for an 11% per day increase in reporting fraction starting April 13.

4/25 4/26 4/27 4/28
R^0 (Range) Original 2.27 (1.41, 2.48) 1.95 (1.27, 2.14) 1.59 (1.12, 1.66) 1.51 (1.14, 1.60)
1.66 (1.41, 2.14) 1.56 (1.21, 1.82) 1.40 (0.93, 1.39) 1.32 (0.86, 1.30)
Imputed 2.25 (1.37, 2.85) 2.19 (1.38, 2.96) 2.36 (1.51, 2.94) 2.31 (1.60, 3.02)
1.66 (1.37, 2.17) 1.68 (1.35, 2.04) 1.75 (1.42, 2.17) 1.68 (1.43, 1.98)
Augmented 2.26 (1.32, 2.51) 2.27 (1.38, 2.51) 2.51 (1.51, 2.88) 2.52 (1.70, 2.83)
1.68 (1.37, 2.21) 1.73 (1.39, 2.12) 1.84 (1.48, 2.29) 1.81 (1.53, 2.21)
μ^ (Range) Original 2.55 (1.87, 3.30) 2.45 (1.65, 3.27) 2.20 (1.53, 3.13) 2.15 (1.59, 3.08)
2.21 (1.88, 3.17) 2.17 (1.61, 3.15) 2.04 (1.43, 3.01) 2.00 (1.39, 2.98)
Imputed 2.49 (1.74, 3.33) 2.47 (1.71, 3.31) 2.54 (1.71, 3.30) 2.60 (1.96, 3.24)
2.17 (1.67, 3.15) 2.18 (1.68, 3.17) 2.21 (1.71, 3.17) 2.28 (1.90, 3.18)
Augmented 2.48 (1.68, 3.28) 2.48 (1.74, 3.32) 2.55 (1.77, 3.34) 2.61 (2.00, 3.32)
2.16 (1.75, 3.16) 2.18 (1.71, 3.13) 2.21 (1.73, 3.21) 2.30 (1.94, 3.14)
σ^0 (Range) Original 0.60 (0.21, 1.25) 0.77 (0.25, 1.48) 0.80 (0.24, 1.59) 0.79 (0.28, 1.59)
0.88 (0.22, 1.15) 0.94 (0.24, 1.49) 0.91 (0.24, 1.59) 0.89 (0.24, 1.59)
Imputed 0.64 (0.20, 1.52) 0.67 (0.21, 1.41) 0.67 (0.22, 1.37) 0.57 (0.21, 1.17)
0.88 (0.22, 1.31) 0.94 (0.22, 1.46) 0.91 (0.23, 1.33) 0.89 (0.21, 1.17)
Augmented 0.66 (0.21, 1.52) 0.65 (0.21, 1.54) 0.67 (0.20, 1.36) 0.60 (0.20, 1.26)
0.89 (0.23, 1.34) 0.88 (0.23, 1.34) 0.90 (0.23, 1.29) 0.85 (0.23, 1.15)
Imported Cases Original 58 72 96 102
10 14 24 6
Imputed 60 80 106 115
11 20 26 9
Augmented 65.4 93.4 139.1 160.0
13.4 27.9 45.7 20.9
Growth rate, r Original 0.34 0.34 0.33 0.31
Imputed 0.34 0.37 0.40 0.37
Augmented 0.35 0.39 0.43 0.41
New Cases Original 78 117 137 152
Imputed 85 153 254 251
Augmented 91.6 176.3 314.9 344.4
Total Cases Original 275 392 529 681
Imputed 282 435 689 940
Augmented 295.0 471.3 786.3 1130.6