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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2020 Apr 28.
Published in final edited form as: Biomech Model Mechanobiol. 2020 Apr 27;19(6):2179–2193. doi: 10.1007/s10237-020-01332-5

Fig. 15. COVID-19 outbreak dynamics across the United States predicted with the SEIR network model.

Fig. 15

Exposed, infectious, and recovered cases for the United States reported and predicted by the SEIR network model using data from the early stages of the outbreak. With no additional counter measures, the SEIR network model predicts a nation-wide peak of the outbreak on day 54, on May 10, 2020. Latent period A = 2.56 days, contact period B = 3.38 days, infectious period C = 17.82 days, fraction of initial latent population ρ = E0/I0 = 43.75, day at which the last state reported its first case d0 = March 17, 2020, and travel coefficient ϑ = 0.43.