Table 3.
N | Expected Pr(encounter)1 | Number of encounters or lists | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |||||||||
LLM-AIC | BLCM | LLM-AIC | LLM-BMA | BLCM | LLM-AIC | LLM-BMA | BLCM | LLM-AIC | LLM-BMA | BLCM | ||
1,000 | 0.025 | 0.975 | 0.201 | 0.693 | 1.000 | 0.658 | 0.699 | 1.000 | 0.687 | 0.687 | 1.000 | 0.688 |
0.050 | 0.831 | 0.832 | 0.627 | 1.000 | 0.828 | 0.559 | 1.000 | 0.756 | 0.508 | 1.000 | 0.682 | |
0.100 | 0.688 | 0.853 | 0.444 | 1.000 | 0.588 | 0.501 | 1.000 | 0.493 | 0.509 | 0.999 | 0.475 | |
0.150 | 0.496 | 0.836 | 0.498 | 0.997 | 0.503 | 0.562 | 0.992 | 0.479 | 0.604 | 0.982 | 0.459 | |
0.200 | 0.422 | 0.821 | 0.541 | 0.982 | 0.497 | 0.620 | 0.963 | 0.475 | 0.663 | 0.937 | 0.449 | |
10,000 | 0.025 | 0.771 | 0.514 | 0.498 | 1.000 | 0.761 | 0.456 | 1.000 | 0.478 | 0.402 | 1.000 | 0.412 |
0.050 | 0.492 | 0.803 | 0.400 | 1.000 | 0.463 | 0.464 | 1.000 | 0.465 | 0.490 | 1.000 | 0.455 | |
0.100 | 0.403 | 0.818 | 0.525 | 1.000 | 0.472 | 0.599 | 1.000 | 0.469 | 0.615 | 1.000 | 0.469 | |
0.150 | 0.383 | 0.827 | 0.588 | 0.996 | 0.484 | 0.629 | 0.990 | 0.478 | 0.703 | 0.983 | 0.474 | |
0.200 | 0.362 | 0.792 | 0.626 | 0.982 | 0.582 | 0.729 | 0.964 | 0.579 | 0.761 | 0.940 | 0.572 | |
20,000 | 0.025 | 0.651 | 0.537 | 0.423 | 1.000 | 0.505 | 0.405 | 1.000 | 0.445 | 0.422 | 1.000 | 0.446 |
0.050 | 0.407 | 0.795 | 0.460 | 1.000 | 0.446 | 0.480 | 1.000 | 0.442 | 0.554 | 1.000 | 0.437 | |
0.100 | 0.376 | 0.807 | 0.573 | 1.000 | 0.457 | 0.580 | 1.000 | 0.454 | 0.596 | 1.000 | 0.449 | |
0.150 | 0.374 | 0.823 | 0.590 | 0.998 | 0.475 | 0.629 | 0.993 | 0.461 | 0.682 | 0.984 | 0.441 | |
0.200 | 0.346 | 0.826 | 0.641 | 0.985 | 0.487 | 0.730 | 0.965 | 0.465 | 0.737 | 0.950 | 0.450 |
For first encounters in data-generating models , and .